Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in Tajikistan
Tajikistan: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared was 887 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
887 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 1.0%
World rank
190th
of 236 countries
All-time high
887 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
483.3 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tajikistan, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
Tajikistan recorded 887 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
That represents a change of up 1.0% on the previous year and up 8.0% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tajikistan peaked at 887 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 483.3 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
That places Tajikistan 190th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in Tajikistan, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 483.3 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 489.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2032 | 496.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2033 | 504.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2034 | 511.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2035 | 518.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2036 | 526.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2037 | 533.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2038 | 539.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2039 | 546.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2040 | 552.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2041 | 559.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2042 | 565.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2043 | 571.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2044 | 576.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2045 | 581.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2046 | 587.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2047 | 593.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2048 | 598.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2049 | 603.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2050 | 608 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2051 | 613 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2052 | 618.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2053 | 624.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2054 | 630.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2055 | 636.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2056 | 642.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2057 | 649.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2058 | 656 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2059 | 663.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2060 | 671 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2061 | 678.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2062 | 686.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2063 | 694.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2064 | 702.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2065 | 710.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2066 | 719.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2067 | 727.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2068 | 735.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2069 | 743 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2070 | 750.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2071 | 758.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2072 | 766.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2073 | 774.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2074 | 781.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2075 | 788.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2076 | 795.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2077 | 801.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2078 | 808.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2079 | 814.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2080 | 821.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2081 | 827.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2082 | 832.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2083 | 838.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2084 | 843.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2085 | 850 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2086 | 856 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2087 | 862.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2088 | 870.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2089 | 878.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2090 | 887 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
Tajikistan compared with similar countries
- Tajikistan's 887 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for lower middle income countries, which is 1,052 deaths per 1,000 people, 84% of the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Tajikistan's 887 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people, 70% of the median. (56 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 515.02 deaths per 1,000 people | 483.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 546.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 578.92 deaths per 1,000 people | 552.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 603.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 634.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 608 deaths per 1,000 people | 663.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 706.82 deaths per 1,000 people | 671 deaths per 1,000 people | 743 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 783.92 deaths per 1,000 people | 750.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 814.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 848.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 821.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 878.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 887 deaths per 1,000 people | 887 deaths per 1,000 people | 887 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Tajikistan
- 187 Iraq 898.9 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 188 Niger 887.5 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 189 Central African Republic 887.2 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 191 Mali 878 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 192 Togo 875 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 193 Zimbabwe 874.6 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Tajikistan
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.94 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.9561 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 1,061 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2021)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -0.6758 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0596 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -0.6416 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0629 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tajikistan?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tajikistan was 887 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Tajikistan?
- The highest recorded value was 887 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Tajikistan?
- The lowest recorded value was 483.3 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Tajikistan rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Tajikistan ranks 190th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Tajikistan?
- Over the last ten years it is up 8.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Tajikistan data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.