Mali vs Tajikistan: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Mali
878 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Tajikistan
887 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Mali rank
191st
Tajikistan rank
190th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Mali
  • Tajikistan
0200400600800203020602090

How they compare

Tajikistan currently reports 887 deaths per 1,000 people against 878 deaths per 1,000 people in Mali, a difference of 9 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 1 time across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was Mali ahead.

Mali ranks 191st and Tajikistan ranks 190th of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, Mali averaged higher in 3 and Tajikistan in 4.

Head to head by decade

Decade Mali Tajikistan Difference Ahead
2030s 737.09 deaths per 1,000 people 515.02 deaths per 1,000 people 222.07 deaths per 1,000 people Mali
2040s 673.84 deaths per 1,000 people 578.92 deaths per 1,000 people 94.92 deaths per 1,000 people Mali
2050s 664.83 deaths per 1,000 people 634.3 deaths per 1,000 people 30.53 deaths per 1,000 people Mali
2060s 685.23 deaths per 1,000 people 706.82 deaths per 1,000 people 21.59 deaths per 1,000 people Tajikistan
2070s 733.33 deaths per 1,000 people 783.92 deaths per 1,000 people 50.59 deaths per 1,000 people Tajikistan
2080s 821.25 deaths per 1,000 people 848.2 deaths per 1,000 people 26.95 deaths per 1,000 people Tajikistan
2090s 878 deaths per 1,000 people 887 deaths per 1,000 people 9 deaths per 1,000 people Tajikistan

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Mali or Tajikistan?
Tajikistan, at 887 deaths per 1,000 people against 878 deaths per 1,000 people in Mali as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Mali and Tajikistan?
9 deaths per 1,000 people, with Tajikistan ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Mali and Tajikistan?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Mali and Tajikistan rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Mali ranks 191st and Tajikistan ranks 190th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Mali vs Tajikistan: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 02 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/mali/tajikistan/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.