Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Mali
Mali: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 878 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
878 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 1.2%
World rank
191st
of 236 countries
All-time high
878 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
661.9 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2051
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Mali, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
The most recent figure for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Mali is 878 deaths per 1,000 people, measured in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
The figure is up 1.2% on the previous year and up 13.1% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Mali peaked at 878 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 661.9 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2051.
That places Mali 191st out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Mali, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 779.8 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 769.5 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.3% |
| 2032 | 759.7 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.3% |
| 2033 | 750.4 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2034 | 740.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.4% |
| 2035 | 730.2 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.3% |
| 2036 | 722.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.1% |
| 2037 | 713.7 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2038 | 706.3 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2039 | 699.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2040 | 692.6 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2041 | 686.7 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2042 | 681.2 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.8% |
| 2043 | 676.6 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2044 | 673 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2045 | 669.7 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2046 | 666.8 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2047 | 665 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2048 | 663.6 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2049 | 663.2 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2050 | 662.2 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2051 | 661.9 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2052 | 662.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2053 | 663 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2054 | 663.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2055 | 664.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2056 | 665.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2057 | 666.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2058 | 668.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2059 | 670.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2060 | 672.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2061 | 674.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2062 | 677.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2063 | 680.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2064 | 682.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2065 | 685.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2066 | 689.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2067 | 692.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2068 | 696.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2069 | 700.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2070 | 705 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2071 | 709.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2072 | 714.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2073 | 721.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2074 | 728 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2075 | 735.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2076 | 742.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2077 | 750.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2078 | 758.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2079 | 767.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2080 | 776.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2081 | 785.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2082 | 795.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2083 | 805.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2084 | 815.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2085 | 825.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2086 | 836.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2087 | 846.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2088 | 857.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2089 | 867.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2090 | 878 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
Mali compared with similar countries
- Mali's 878 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for low income countries, which is 887.5 deaths per 1,000 people, 99% of the median. (25 countries reporting)
- Mali's 878 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 887.35 deaths per 1,000 people, 99% of the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 737.09 deaths per 1,000 people | 699.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 779.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 673.84 deaths per 1,000 people | 663.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 692.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 664.83 deaths per 1,000 people | 661.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 670.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 685.23 deaths per 1,000 people | 672.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 700.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 733.33 deaths per 1,000 people | 705 deaths per 1,000 people | 767.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 821.25 deaths per 1,000 people | 776.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 867.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 878 deaths per 1,000 people | 878 deaths per 1,000 people | 878 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Mali
- 188 Niger 887.5 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 189 Central African Republic 887.2 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 190 Tajikistan 887 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 192 Togo 875 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 193 Zimbabwe 874.6 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 194 Mozambique 869.7 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Mali
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.65 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 1.18 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 24,194 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 14 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 2.27 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0853 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 2.19 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0871 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Mali?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Mali was 878 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Mali?
- The highest recorded value was 878 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Mali?
- The lowest recorded value was 661.9 deaths per 1,000 people in 2051.
- How does Mali rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Mali ranks 191st out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Mali?
- Over the last ten years it is up 13.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Mali data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
Download this data
CSV · JSON — 61 observations, free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data).
About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.