Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Guernsey
Guernsey: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,277 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
1,277 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
down 0.2%
World rank
96th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,365 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2061
All-time low
1,006 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Guernsey, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Guernsey stood at 1,277 deaths per 1,000 people.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 0.2% on the previous year and down 1.4% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Guernsey peaked at 1,365 deaths per 1,000 people in 2061 and was at its lowest, 1,006 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
Guernsey ranks 96th of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Guernsey, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 1,006 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 1,018 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2032 | 1,033 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2033 | 1,046 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2034 | 1,058 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2035 | 1,074 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2036 | 1,089 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2037 | 1,106 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2038 | 1,120 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2039 | 1,136 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2040 | 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2041 | 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2042 | 1,178 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2043 | 1,195 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2044 | 1,208 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2045 | 1,224 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2046 | 1,240 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2047 | 1,251 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2048 | 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2049 | 1,280 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2050 | 1,291 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2051 | 1,304 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2052 | 1,316 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2053 | 1,327 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2054 | 1,338 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2055 | 1,343 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2056 | 1,348 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2057 | 1,354 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2058 | 1,359 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2059 | 1,363 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2060 | 1,364 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2061 | 1,365 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2062 | 1,363 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2063 | 1,360 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2064 | 1,353 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2065 | 1,350 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2066 | 1,346 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2067 | 1,342 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2068 | 1,337 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2069 | 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2070 | 1,327 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2071 | 1,322 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2072 | 1,317 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2073 | 1,313 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2074 | 1,310 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2075 | 1,306 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2076 | 1,304 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2077 | 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2078 | 1,300 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2079 | 1,299 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2080 | 1,295 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2081 | 1,298 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2082 | 1,296 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2083 | 1,295 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2084 | 1,296 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2085 | 1,291 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2086 | 1,288 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2087 | 1,289 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2088 | 1,285 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2089 | 1,279 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2090 | 1,277 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 1,069 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,006 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,136 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 1,216 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,280 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 1,334 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,291 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,363 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,351 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,365 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,310 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,299 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,327 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,291 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,279 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,298 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,277 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,277 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,277 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Guernsey
- 93 Dominican Republic 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 94 East Timor 1,287 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 95 Indonesia 1,286 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 97 Finland 1,271 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 98 Brunei 1,268 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 99 Austria 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Guernsey
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate -0.172 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 1 deaths (2100)
- Life expectancy 83.27 years (2023)
- Life expectancy vs. GDP per capita 83.27 years (2023)
- Life expectancy vs. Electoral Democracy Index 83.27 years (2023)
- Fertility rate vs. child mortality 1.36 live births per woman (2023)
- Life expectancy for people of different ages 83.27 years (2023)
- Natural population growth rate vs. child mortality rate -0.1% (2023)
- Life expectancy 83.27 years (2023)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Guernsey?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Guernsey was 1,277 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Guernsey?
- The highest recorded value was 1,365 deaths per 1,000 people in 2061.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Guernsey?
- The lowest recorded value was 1,006 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Guernsey rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Guernsey ranks 96th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Guernsey?
- Over the last ten years it is down 1.4%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Guernsey data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.