Finland vs Guernsey: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Finland
1,271 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Guernsey
1,277 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Finland rank
97th
Guernsey rank
96th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Finland
  • Guernsey
05001.0k1.5k203020602090

How they compare

Guernsey currently reports 1,277 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,271 deaths per 1,000 people in Finland, a difference of 6 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 3 times across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was Finland ahead.

Finland ranks 97th and Guernsey ranks 96th of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, Finland averaged higher in 3 and Guernsey in 4.

Head to head by decade

Decade Finland Guernsey Difference Ahead
2030s 1,205 deaths per 1,000 people 1,069 deaths per 1,000 people 136.16 deaths per 1,000 people Finland
2040s 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people 1,216 deaths per 1,000 people 73.78 deaths per 1,000 people Finland
2050s 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people 1,334 deaths per 1,000 people 68.01 deaths per 1,000 people Guernsey
2060s 1,240 deaths per 1,000 people 1,351 deaths per 1,000 people 111.4 deaths per 1,000 people Guernsey
2070s 1,284 deaths per 1,000 people 1,310 deaths per 1,000 people 26.04 deaths per 1,000 people Guernsey
2080s 1,293 deaths per 1,000 people 1,291 deaths per 1,000 people 1.88 deaths per 1,000 people Finland
2090s 1,271 deaths per 1,000 people 1,277 deaths per 1,000 people 6.3 deaths per 1,000 people Guernsey

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Finland or Guernsey?
Guernsey, at 1,277 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,271 deaths per 1,000 people in Finland as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Finland and Guernsey?
6 deaths per 1,000 people, with Guernsey ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Finland and Guernsey?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Finland and Guernsey rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Finland ranks 97th and Guernsey ranks 96th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Finland vs Guernsey: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 31 August 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/finland/guernsey/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.