Guernsey vs Indonesia: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Guernsey
1,277 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Indonesia
1,286 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Guernsey rank
96th
Indonesia rank
95th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Guernsey
  • Indonesia
05001.0k1.5k203020602090

How they compare

Indonesia currently reports 1,286 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,277 deaths per 1,000 people in Guernsey, a difference of 9 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 1 time across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was Guernsey ahead.

Guernsey ranks 96th and Indonesia ranks 95th of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, Guernsey averaged higher in 6 and Indonesia in 1.

Head to head by decade

Decade Guernsey Indonesia Difference Ahead
2030s 1,069 deaths per 1,000 people 872.66 deaths per 1,000 people 195.96 deaths per 1,000 people Guernsey
2040s 1,216 deaths per 1,000 people 991.86 deaths per 1,000 people 224.01 deaths per 1,000 people Guernsey
2050s 1,334 deaths per 1,000 people 1,099 deaths per 1,000 people 235.19 deaths per 1,000 people Guernsey
2060s 1,351 deaths per 1,000 people 1,174 deaths per 1,000 people 177.51 deaths per 1,000 people Guernsey
2070s 1,310 deaths per 1,000 people 1,216 deaths per 1,000 people 93.45 deaths per 1,000 people Guernsey
2080s 1,291 deaths per 1,000 people 1,258 deaths per 1,000 people 33 deaths per 1,000 people Guernsey
2090s 1,277 deaths per 1,000 people 1,286 deaths per 1,000 people 8.8 deaths per 1,000 people Indonesia

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Guernsey or Indonesia?
Indonesia, at 1,286 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,277 deaths per 1,000 people in Guernsey as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Guernsey and Indonesia?
9 deaths per 1,000 people, with Indonesia ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Guernsey and Indonesia?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Guernsey and Indonesia rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Guernsey ranks 96th and Indonesia ranks 95th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Guernsey vs Indonesia: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 31 August 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/guernsey/indonesia/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.