Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in Gambia

Gambia: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared was 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising

Latest (2090)
1,044 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 1.2%
World rank
170th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,044 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
609.8 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2032
Years of data
61
2030–2090

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Gambia, 2030–2090

02505007501.0k203020602090

Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.

Analysis

The most recent figure for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Gambia is 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people, measured in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.

That represents a change of up 1.2% on the previous year and up 12.3% over ten years.

Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Gambia peaked at 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 609.8 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2032.

Gambia ranks 170th of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in Gambia, year by year

Annual values for Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Gambia, 2030 to 2090.
Year deaths per 1,000 people Change
2030 610.5 deaths per 1,000 people —
2031 610 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2032 609.8 deaths per 1,000 people -0.0%
2033 610.1 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2034 610.8 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2035 612.2 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2036 613.8 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2037 615.4 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2038 617.2 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2039 619.2 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2040 621.8 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2041 624.2 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2042 626.9 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2043 629.5 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2044 632.6 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2045 636 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2046 638.7 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2047 641.6 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2048 645.6 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2049 649.2 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2050 653.3 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2051 657 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2052 661.5 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2053 666.5 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2054 671.2 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2055 676.4 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2056 681.9 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2057 688.3 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2058 695.6 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2059 703.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2060 711.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2061 719.6 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2062 728.7 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2063 738.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2064 748.7 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2065 759.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2066 770 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2067 780.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2068 792 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2069 803.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2070 814.2 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2071 825.6 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2072 837 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2073 848.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2074 859.6 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2075 871.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2076 883.1 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2077 894.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2078 907 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2079 918.2 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2080 929.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2081 941.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2082 953.1 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2083 964.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2084 975.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2085 986.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2086 998.2 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2087 1,010 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2088 1,022 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2089 1,032 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2090 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%

Gambia compared with similar countries

  • Gambia's 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for low income countries, which is 887.5 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.2× the median. (25 countries reporting)
  • Gambia's 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 887.35 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.2× the median. (48 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 612.9 deaths per 1,000 people 609.8 deaths per 1,000 people 619.2 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2040s 634.61 deaths per 1,000 people 621.8 deaths per 1,000 people 649.2 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2050s 675.5 deaths per 1,000 people 653.3 deaths per 1,000 people 703.3 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2060s 755.24 deaths per 1,000 people 711.4 deaths per 1,000 people 803.4 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2070s 865.93 deaths per 1,000 people 814.2 deaths per 1,000 people 918.2 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2080s 981.37 deaths per 1,000 people 929.8 deaths per 1,000 people 1,032 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2090s 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people 1

Countries ranked near Gambia

  1. 167 Honduras 1,052 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  2. 168 Namibia 1,046 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  3. 169 Faroe Islands 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  4. 171 Reunion 1,035 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  5. 172 France 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  6. 173 Benin 1,002 deaths per 1,000 people compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More health data for Gambia

All data for Gambia →

Frequently asked questions

What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Gambia?
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Gambia was 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Gambia?
The highest recorded value was 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Gambia?
The lowest recorded value was 609.8 deaths per 1,000 people in 2032.
How does Gambia rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Gambia ranks 170th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Gambia?
Over the last ten years it is up 12.3%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Gambia data come from?
The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Gambia. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 11 October 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/gambia-the/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.