France vs Gambia: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

France
1,016 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Gambia
1,044 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
France rank
172nd
Gambia rank
170th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • France
  • Gambia
02505007501.0k1.2k203020602090

How they compare

Gambia currently reports 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people in France, a difference of 28 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 1 time across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was France ahead.

France ranks 172nd and Gambia ranks 170th of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, France averaged higher in 6 and Gambia in 1.

Head to head by decade

Decade France Gambia Difference Ahead
2030s 1,022 deaths per 1,000 people 612.9 deaths per 1,000 people 408.62 deaths per 1,000 people France
2040s 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people 634.61 deaths per 1,000 people 499.8 deaths per 1,000 people France
2050s 1,160 deaths per 1,000 people 675.5 deaths per 1,000 people 484.24 deaths per 1,000 people France
2060s 1,138 deaths per 1,000 people 755.24 deaths per 1,000 people 382.9 deaths per 1,000 people France
2070s 1,080 deaths per 1,000 people 865.93 deaths per 1,000 people 214.14 deaths per 1,000 people France
2080s 1,028 deaths per 1,000 people 981.37 deaths per 1,000 people 46.66 deaths per 1,000 people France
2090s 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people 27.5 deaths per 1,000 people Gambia

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, France or Gambia?
Gambia, at 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people in France as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between France and Gambia?
28 deaths per 1,000 people, with Gambia ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for France and Gambia?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do France and Gambia rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
France ranks 172nd and Gambia ranks 170th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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France vs Gambia: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 05 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/france/gambia-the/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.