Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in France
France: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▬ Flat
Latest (2090)
1,016 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.1%
World rank
172nd
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,161 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2054
All-time low
970.4 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in France, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
The most recent figure for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in France is 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people, measured in 2090.
That represents a change of up 0.1% on the previous year and down 3.1% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in France peaked at 1,161 deaths per 1,000 people in 2054 and was at its lowest, 970.4 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
France ranks 172nd of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in France, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 970.4 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 979.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2032 | 989.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2033 | 1,001 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2034 | 1,013 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2035 | 1,026 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2036 | 1,039 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2037 | 1,052 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2038 | 1,065 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2039 | 1,080 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2040 | 1,094 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2041 | 1,106 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2042 | 1,118 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2043 | 1,128 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2044 | 1,137 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2045 | 1,144 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2046 | 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2047 | 1,154 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2048 | 1,156 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2049 | 1,158 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2050 | 1,160 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2051 | 1,160 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2052 | 1,160 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2053 | 1,161 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2054 | 1,161 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2055 | 1,160 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2056 | 1,160 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2057 | 1,159 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2058 | 1,159 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2059 | 1,157 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2060 | 1,155 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2061 | 1,152 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2062 | 1,149 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2063 | 1,147 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2064 | 1,142 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2065 | 1,138 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2066 | 1,133 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2067 | 1,128 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2068 | 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2069 | 1,115 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2070 | 1,109 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2071 | 1,101 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2072 | 1,095 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2073 | 1,088 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2074 | 1,082 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2075 | 1,076 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2076 | 1,070 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2077 | 1,065 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2078 | 1,059 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2079 | 1,054 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2080 | 1,049 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2081 | 1,042 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2082 | 1,038 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2083 | 1,032 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2084 | 1,026 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2085 | 1,023 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2086 | 1,020 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2087 | 1,017 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2088 | 1,017 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2089 | 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2090 | 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
France compared with similar countries
- France's 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 80% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
- France's 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people, 80% of the median. (56 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 1,022 deaths per 1,000 people | 970.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,080 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,094 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,158 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 1,160 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,157 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,161 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,138 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,115 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,155 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,080 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,054 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,109 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,028 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,049 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near France
- 169 Faroe Islands 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 170 Gambia 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 171 Reunion 1,035 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 173 Benin 1,002 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 174 Somalia 987.7 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 175 Ghana 986.1 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for France
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.31 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.0689 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 603 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2024)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -0.7875 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0244 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -0.8291 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0255 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in France?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in France was 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in France?
- The highest recorded value was 1,161 deaths per 1,000 people in 2054.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in France?
- The lowest recorded value was 970.4 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does France rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- France ranks 172nd out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in France?
- Over the last ten years it is down 3.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is flat.
- Where does this France data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.