Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained (projection) in Sub-Saharan Africa

Sub-Saharan Africa: Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained was 2.84 million in 2030. ▬ Flat

Latest (2030)
2.84 million
Change on year
down 0.5%
Rank
1st
of 11 groups
All-time high
2.90 million
in 2025
All-time low
2.84 million
in 2030
Years of data
6
2025–2030

Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2025–2030

01.0M2.0M3.0M2025202720302025: 2.9M2026: 2.9M2027: 2.9M2028: 2.9M2029: 2.9M2030: 2.8M

Source: UNICEF.

Analysis

In 2030, under-five deaths - current trends maintained in Sub-Saharan Africa stood at 2.84 million. That is the lowest value across all 6 years on record.

That represents a change of down 0.5% on the previous year and down 2.1% over ten years.

Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained in Sub-Saharan Africa, year by year

Annual values for Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained (projection) in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2025 to 2030.
Year Value Change
2025 2.90 million —
2026 2.89 million -0.3%
2027 2.88 million -0.4%
2028 2.87 million -0.4%
2029 2.85 million -0.5%
2030 2.84 million -0.5%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2020s 2.88 million 2.85 million 2.90 million 5
2030s 2.84 million 2.84 million 2.84 million 1

Countries ranked near Sub-Saharan Africa

  1. 1 Nigeria 883,711 compare
  2. 2 India 433,791 compare
  3. 3 Democratic Republic of Congo 420,301 compare
  4. 4 Pakistan 326,650 compare

See the full ranking of 212 places →

More health data for Sub-Saharan Africa

All data for Sub-Saharan Africa →

Frequently asked questions

What is under-five deaths - current trends maintained in Sub-Saharan Africa?
Under-five deaths - current trends maintained in Sub-Saharan Africa was 2.84 million in 2030, according to UNICEF.
What is the highest under-five deaths - current trends maintained recorded in Sub-Saharan Africa?
The highest recorded value was 2.90 million in 2025.
What is the lowest under-five deaths - current trends maintained recorded in Sub-Saharan Africa?
The lowest recorded value was 2.84 million in 2030.
How does Sub-Saharan Africa rank for under-five deaths - current trends maintained?
Sub-Saharan Africa ranks 1st out of 11 groups with data for 2030.
Is under-five deaths - current trends maintained rising or falling in Sub-Saharan Africa?
Over the last ten years it is down 2.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is flat.
Where does this Sub-Saharan Africa data come from?
The figures come from UNICEF, published as part of Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained (projection). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained in Sub-Saharan Africa. Statizoid, drawing on UNICEF. Retrieved 07 October 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/under-five-deaths-current-trends-maintained-projection/sub-saharan-africa/

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About this data

Indicator
Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained (projection)
Source
UNICEF
Licence
UNICEF Terms of Use (attribution required)
Coverage
212 places, 1,272 data points, 2025–2030
Last refreshed