Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained (projection) in Nigeria
Nigeria: Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained was 883,711 in 2030. ▬ Flat
Latest (2030)
883,711
Change on year
up 0.4%
World rank
1st
of 200 countries
All-time high
883,711
in 2030
All-time low
860,615
in 2025
Years of data
6
2025–2030
Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained in Nigeria, 2025–2030
Source: UNICEF.
Analysis
The most recent figure for under-five deaths - current trends maintained in Nigeria is 883,711, measured in 2030. That is the highest value across all 6 years on record.
That represents a change of up 0.4% on the previous year and up 2.7% over ten years.
That places Nigeria 1st out of 200 countries with data for 2030, putting it in the top 10%.
Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained in Nigeria, year by year
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 860,615 | — |
| 2026 | 866,520 | +0.7% |
| 2027 | 871,222 | +0.5% |
| 2028 | 875,235 | +0.5% |
| 2029 | 879,772 | +0.5% |
| 2030 | 883,711 | +0.4% |
Nigeria compared with similar countries
- Nigeria's 883,711 is above the median for lower middle income countries, which is 7,297, 121.1× the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Nigeria's 883,711 is above the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 28,592, 30.9× the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020s | 870,673 | 860,615 | 879,772 | 5 |
| 2030s | 883,711 | 883,711 | 883,711 | 1 |
Countries ranked near Nigeria
More health data for Nigeria
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.08 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.8137 % change on previous year (2090)
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 257,921 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 14 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 1.14 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0711 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 1.17 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is under-five deaths - current trends maintained in Nigeria?
- Under-five deaths - current trends maintained in Nigeria was 883,711 in 2030, according to UNICEF.
- What is the highest under-five deaths - current trends maintained recorded in Nigeria?
- The highest recorded value was 883,711 in 2030.
- What is the lowest under-five deaths - current trends maintained recorded in Nigeria?
- The lowest recorded value was 860,615 in 2025.
- How does Nigeria rank for under-five deaths - current trends maintained?
- Nigeria ranks 1st out of 200 countries with data for 2030.
- Is under-five deaths - current trends maintained rising or falling in Nigeria?
- Over the last ten years it is up 2.7%. The long-run trend across the full record is flat.
- Where does this Nigeria data come from?
- The figures come from UNICEF, published as part of Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained (projection). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
Download this data
CSV · JSON — 6 observations, free to reuse under UNICEF Terms of Use (attribution required).