Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained in Nigeria

Nigeria: Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained was 883,711 in 2030. β–¬ Flat

Latest (2030)
883,711
Change on year
up 0.4%
World rank
1st
of 200 countries
All-time high
883,711
in 2030
All-time low
860,615
in 2025
Years of data
6
2025–2030

Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained in Nigeria, 2025–2030

0200.0k400.0k600.0k800.0k2025202720302025: 860.6k2026: 866.5k2027: 871.2k2028: 875.2k2029: 879.8k2030: 883.7k

Source: UNICEF.

Analysis

The most recent figure for under-five deaths - current trends maintained in Nigeria is 883,711, measured in 2030. That is the highest value across all 6 years on record.

That represents a change of up 0.4% on the previous year and up 2.7% over ten years.

That places Nigeria 1st out of 200 countries with data for 2030, putting it in the top 10%.

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2020s 870,673 860,615 879,772 5
2030s 883,711 883,711 883,711 1

Countries ranked near Nigeria

  1. 2 India 433,791 compare
  2. 3 Democratic Republic of the Congo 420,301 compare
  3. 4 Pakistan 326,650 compare

See the full ranking of 212 places β†’

More health data for Nigeria

All data for Nigeria β†’

Frequently asked questions

What is under-five deaths - current trends maintained in Nigeria?
Under-five deaths - current trends maintained in Nigeria was 883,711 in 2030, according to UNICEF.
What is the highest under-five deaths - current trends maintained recorded in Nigeria?
The highest recorded value was 883,711 in 2030.
What is the lowest under-five deaths - current trends maintained recorded in Nigeria?
The lowest recorded value was 860,615 in 2025.
How does Nigeria rank for under-five deaths - current trends maintained?
Nigeria ranks 1st out of 200 countries with data for 2030.
Is under-five deaths - current trends maintained rising or falling in Nigeria?
Over the last ten years it is up 2.7%. The long-run trend across the full record is flat.
Where does this Nigeria data come from?
The figures come from UNICEF, published as part of Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained (projection). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained in Nigeria. Statizoid, drawing on UNICEF. Retrieved 21 August 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/under-five-deaths-current-trends-maintained-projection/nigeria/

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About this data

Indicator
Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained (projection)
Source
UNICEF
Licence
UNICEF Terms of Use (attribution required)
Coverage
212 places, 1,272 data points, 2025–2030
Last refreshed