Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained in Eastern and Southern Africa

Eastern and Southern Africa: Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained was 913,541 in 2030. ▼ Falling

Latest (2030)
913,541
Change on year
down 1.4%
Rank
4th
of 11 groups
All-time high
977,431
in 2025
All-time low
913,541
in 2030
Years of data
6
2025–2030

Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained in Eastern and Southern Africa, 2025–2030

0200.0k400.0k600.0k800.0k1.0M2025202720302025: 977.4k2026: 964.4k2027: 952.2k2028: 939.5k2029: 926.7k2030: 913.5k

Source: UNICEF.

Analysis

Eastern and Southern Africa recorded 913,541 for under-five deaths - current trends maintained in 2030. That is the lowest value across all 6 years on record.

The figure is down 1.4% on the previous year and down 6.5% over ten years.

Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained in Eastern and Southern Africa, year by year

Annual values for Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained (projection) in Eastern and Southern Africa, 2025 to 2030.
Year Value Change
2025 977,431
2026 964,362 -1.3%
2027 952,153 -1.3%
2028 939,528 -1.3%
2029 926,716 -1.4%
2030 913,541 -1.4%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2020s 952,038 926,716 977,431 5
2030s 913,541 913,541 913,541 1

Countries ranked near Eastern and Southern Africa

  1. 1 Nigeria 883,711 compare
  2. 2 India 433,791 compare
  3. 3 Congo, Democratic Republic of the 420,301 compare
  4. 4 Pakistan 326,650 compare
  5. 5 Ethiopia 150,211 compare
  6. 6 Niger 121,621 compare
  7. 7 Bangladesh 86,067 compare

See the full ranking of 212 places →

More health data for Eastern and Southern Africa

All data for Eastern and Southern Africa →

Frequently asked questions

What is under-five deaths - current trends maintained in Eastern and Southern Africa?
Under-five deaths - current trends maintained in Eastern and Southern Africa was 913,541 in 2030, according to UNICEF.
What is the highest under-five deaths - current trends maintained recorded in Eastern and Southern Africa?
The highest recorded value was 977,431 in 2025.
What is the lowest under-five deaths - current trends maintained recorded in Eastern and Southern Africa?
The lowest recorded value was 913,541 in 2030.
How does Eastern and Southern Africa rank for under-five deaths - current trends maintained?
Eastern and Southern Africa ranks 4th out of 11 groups with data for 2030.
Is under-five deaths - current trends maintained rising or falling in Eastern and Southern Africa?
Over the last ten years it is down 6.5%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this Eastern and Southern Africa data come from?
The figures come from UNICEF, published as part of Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained (projection). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained in Eastern and Southern Africa. Statizoid, drawing on UNICEF. Retrieved 22 August 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/under-five-deaths-current-trends-maintained-projection/eastern-and-southern-africa/

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About this data

Indicator
Under-five deaths - Current trends maintained (projection)
Source
UNICEF
Licence
UNICEF Terms of Use (attribution required)
Coverage
212 places, 1,272 data points, 2025–2030
Last refreshed