Statizoid

Under 5 mortality rate - Current trends maintained (projection) by country

Countries reporting
200
Highest
113.25
Nigeria
Lowest
1.26
San Marino
Median
12.18
Years covered
6
2025–2030
Data points
1,272

What the numbers show

Under 5 mortality rate - Current trends maintained (projection) is currently reported for 200 countries. The highest value is 113.25 in Nigeria; the lowest is 1.26 in San Marino.

The median across all reporting countries is 12.18, and the mean is 20.6.

The gap between the highest and lowest reporting country is a factor of about 90.

Under 5 mortality rate - Current trends maintained: full country ranking

#Country LatestYear 10-year changeTrend
1 Nigeria 113.25 2030 down 1.7% flat
2 Niger 102.3 2030 down 6.4% falling
3 South Sudan 96.67 2030 down 0.0% flat
4 Democratic Republic of the Congo 87.3 2030 down 2.2% flat
5 Somalia 83.85 2030 down 14.4% falling
6 Liberia 82.52 2030 down 3.7% flat
7 Chad 80.91 2030 down 14.2% falling
8 Guinea 80.53 2030 down 10.6% falling
9 Central African Republic 76.83 2030 down 12.1% falling
10 Sierra Leone 72.57 2030 down 16.8% falling
11 Zimbabwe 63.83 2030 down 1.0% flat
12 Benin 63.4 2030 down 12.8% falling
13 Burkina Faso 61.65 2030 down 15.0% falling
14 Madagascar 60.63 2030 down 2.4% flat
15 Mali 56.09 2030 down 19.7% falling
16 Equatorial Guinea 55.72 2030 down 15.2% falling
17 Guinea-Bissau 55.11 2030 down 15.3% falling
18 Côte d'Ivoire 53.69 2030 down 14.1% falling
19 Cameroon 52.98 2030 down 15.5% falling
20 Lesotho 51.77 2030 down 11.5% falling
21 Mozambique 51.12 2030 down 11.7% falling
22 Kiribati 49.71 2030 down 5.3% falling
23 Togo 46.42 2030 down 14.6% falling
24 Pakistan 46.33 2030 down 14.5% falling
25 Malawi 44.65 2030 down 7.0% falling
26 Haiti 44.22 2030 down 13.7% falling
27 Uganda 43.63 2030 down 8.8% falling
28 Afghanistan 43.51 2030 down 15.2% falling
29 Zambia 42.13 2030 down 10.8% falling
30 Angola 42.1 2030 down 11.9% falling
31 Timor-Leste 40.9 2030 down 11.9% falling
32 Djibouti 40.48 2030 down 14.5% falling
33 Sudan 39.7 2030 down 14.3% falling
34 Eswatini 39.18 2030 down 11.0% falling
35 Burundi 37.45 2030 down 17.3% falling
36 Turkmenistan 36.55 2030 down 5.3% falling
37 Dominica 35.59 2030 down 0.2% flat
38 Ethiopia 35.09 2030 down 17.9% falling
39 Kenya 34.63 2030 down 9.1% falling
40 Gambia 34.22 2030 down 16.3% falling
41 Comoros 33.61 2030 down 11.6% falling
42 Namibia 33.44 2030 down 12.8% falling
43 Yemen 33.24 2030 down 10.8% falling
44 Papua New Guinea 32.91 2030 down 13.9% falling
45 Rwanda 32.81 2030 down 11.0% falling
46 South Africa 32.31 2030 down 6.5% falling
47 Congo 32.23 2030 down 14.9% falling
48 Mauritania 30.66 2030 down 14.3% falling
49 Myanmar 30.13 2030 down 15.6% falling
50 United Republic of Tanzania 29.41 2030 down 17.3% falling
51 Senegal 29.37 2030 down 16.5% falling
52 Fiji 29.12 2030 unchanged flat
53 Dominican Republic 28.16 2030 down 6.8% falling
54 Eritrea 28.12 2030 down 15.2% falling
55 Ghana 27.98 2030 down 18.7% falling
56 Botswana 26.83 2030 down 16.4% falling
57 Gabon 26.67 2030 down 15.4% falling
58 Bangladesh 26.24 2030 down 11.7% falling
59 Tajikistan 25.75 2030 down 7.1% falling
60 Philippines 25.57 2030 down 2.8% flat
61 Lao People's Democratic Republic 22.36 2030 down 20.3% falling
62 Marshall Islands 22.29 2030 down 14.1% falling
63 Palau 21.3 2030 down 0.5% flat
64 Guyana 20.94 2030 down 14.3% falling
65 Egypt 20.09 2030 down 8.5% falling
66 Algeria 20.02 2030 down 6.2% falling
67 Niue 19.73 2030 down 14.4% falling
68 India 19.23 2030 down 23.6% falling
69 Nepal 19.2 2030 down 20.0% falling
70 Micronesia (Federated States of) 18.55 2030 down 14.6% falling
71 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 18.43 2030 down 1.9% flat
72 Iraq 17.96 2030 down 15.0% falling
73 Grenada 17.76 2030 down 0.9% flat
74 Syrian Arab Republic 17.7 2030 down 3.4% flat
75 Lebanon 17.6 2030 unchanged flat
76 Solomon Islands 17.29 2030 down 11.5% falling
77 Jamaica 17.2 2030 down 2.8% flat
78 Guatemala 16.65 2030 down 15.9% falling
79 Trinidad and Tobago 16.54 2030 down 10.0% falling
80 Republic of Moldova 16.42 2030 down 0.2% flat
81 Vanuatu 15.73 2030 down 6.9% falling
82 Saint Lucia 15.73 2030 down 7.3% falling
83 Tuvalu 15.65 2030 down 15.6% falling
84 Mauritius 15.29 2030 down 0.4% flat
85 Azerbaijan 15.18 2030 down 12.8% falling
86 Viet Nam 14.89 2030 down 11.6% falling
87 Panama 14.14 2030 down 6.2% falling
88 Democratic People's Republic of Korea 14.13 2030 down 12.9% falling
89 Kyrgyzstan 13.92 2030 down 14.4% falling
90 Saint Kitts and Nevis 13.85 2030 down 10.6% falling
91 Indonesia 13.65 2030 down 19.4% falling
92 Seychelles 13.48 2030 down 2.9% flat
93 Cambodia 13.43 2030 down 23.1% falling
94 Paraguay 13.4 2030 down 15.1% falling
95 Suriname 13.26 2030 down 13.5% falling
96 Cook Islands 13.17 2030 down 1.1% flat
97 Samoa 12.97 2030 down 10.7% falling
98 Brazil 12.8 2030 down 8.3% falling
99 Honduras 12.2 2030 down 15.6% falling
100 Morocco 12.18 2030 down 19.2% falling
101 Bhutan 12.18 2030 down 24.8% falling
102 Ecuador 11.6 2030 down 8.3% falling
103 Bahamas 11.51 2030 down 5.7% falling
104 Mexico 11.48 2030 down 10.0% falling
105 Belize 11.09 2030 down 10.4% falling
106 Bolivia (Plurinational State of) 11.08 2030 down 25.2% falling
107 Jordan 11.02 2030 down 12.5% falling
108 Peru 10.92 2030 down 13.0% falling
109 State of Palestine 10.72 2030 down 16.1% falling
110 British Virgin Islands 10.68 2030 down 11.6% falling
111 Mongolia 10.53 2030 down 18.3% falling
112 Costa Rica 10.41 2030 unchanged flat
113 Uzbekistan 10.33 2030 down 19.2% falling
114 Oman 9.74 2030 down 4.4% flat
115 Colombia 9.51 2030 down 14.9% falling
116 Sao Tome and Principe 9.45 2030 down 26.0% falling
117 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 9.43 2030 down 13.0% falling
118 Tunisia 9.36 2030 down 19.0% falling
119 Brunei Darussalam 9.26 2030 down 5.7% falling
120 Iran (Islamic Republic of) 9.19 2030 down 15.9% falling
121 Nicaragua 8.85 2030 down 17.9% falling
122 Albania 8.81 2030 down 3.7% flat
123 Bahrain 8.71 2030 down 0.5% flat
124 Cuba 8.56 2030 unchanged flat
125 Argentina 8.31 2030 down 10.7% falling
126 Tonga 8.21 2030 down 11.5% falling
127 Malaysia 8.21 2030 down 1.0% flat
128 Barbados 8.18 2030 down 13.7% falling
129 Kazakhstan 8.14 2030 down 11.6% falling
130 Cabo Verde 8.05 2030 down 23.4% falling
131 Libya 7.95 2030 down 15.7% falling
132 Antigua and Barbuda 7.95 2030 down 10.3% falling
133 El Salvador 7.85 2030 down 18.5% falling
134 Türkiye 7.74 2030 down 16.5% falling
135 Kuwait 7.49 2030 down 6.4% falling
136 Thailand 7.44 2030 down 14.4% falling
137 Georgia 7.43 2030 down 11.4% falling
138 Armenia 7.22 2030 down 21.0% falling
139 Ukraine 6.86 2030 down 9.9% falling
140 Uruguay 6.63 2030 down 9.2% falling
141 Kosovo (UNSCR 1244) 6.37 2030 down 22.9% falling
142 Romania 6.32 2030 down 11.4% falling
143 United States 6.29 2030 down 2.3% flat
144 Chile 6.21 2030 down 6.4% falling
145 Slovak Republic 6.19 2030 down 1.2% flat
146 Qatar 5.67 2030 down 2.4% flat
147 Bosnia and Herzegovina 5.54 2030 down 4.4% flat
148 Canada 5.33 2030 down 1.5% flat
149 Montserrat 5.32 2030 down 13.8% falling
150 Nauru 5.11 2030 down 32.8% falling
151 Cyprus 4.98 2030 unchanged flat
152 Serbia 4.85 2030 down 8.7% falling
153 Anguilla 4.73 2030 down 13.0% falling
154 Sri Lanka 4.7 2030 down 16.6% falling
155 Malta 4.63 2030 down 11.1% falling
156 United Kingdom 4.58 2030 down 1.9% flat
157 Bulgaria 4.56 2030 down 17.4% falling
158 Saudi Arabia 4.53 2030 down 20.3% falling
159 France 4.3 2030 down 0.8% flat
160 New Zealand 4.23 2030 down 9.0% falling
161 Croatia 4.21 2030 down 5.0% falling
162 Maldives 4.13 2030 down 19.4% falling
163 Russia 3.98 2030 down 19.5% falling
164 Turks and Caicos Islands 3.94 2030 down 12.9% falling
165 China (People’s Republic of) 3.84 2030 down 28.1% falling
166 Ireland 3.83 2030 down 0.7% flat
167 Poland 3.83 2030 down 7.8% falling
168 Netherlands 3.81 2030 down 1.6% flat
169 Denmark 3.81 2030 down 3.0% flat
170 Switzerland 3.7 2030 down 3.5% flat
171 Germany 3.69 2030 down 0.6% flat
172 Belgium 3.61 2030 down 2.5% flat
173 Greece 3.54 2030 down 6.2% falling
174 United Arab Emirates 3.53 2030 down 22.4% falling
175 Australia 3.51 2030 down 2.3% flat
176 Hungary 3.26 2030 down 9.9% falling
177 Austria 3.22 2030 down 2.6% flat
178 Israel 3.07 2030 down 6.7% falling
179 Spain 3.06 2030 down 3.4% flat
180 Lithuania 2.95 2030 down 10.6% falling
181 Portugal 2.94 2030 down 7.6% falling
182 Iceland 2.82 2030 unchanged flat
183 Singapore 2.65 2030 down 1.0% flat
184 Italy 2.5 2030 down 5.9% falling
185 Korea 2.45 2030 down 10.1% falling
186 Czechia 2.41 2030 down 5.8% falling
187 Norway 2.36 2030 down 4.4% flat
188 Monaco 2.36 2030 down 9.3% falling
189 North Macedonia 2.34 2030 down 8.2% falling
190 Japan 2.33 2030 down 3.6% flat
191 Finland 2.33 2030 down 0.9% flat
192 Sweden 2.27 2030 down 4.6% flat
193 Montenegro 2.21 2030 down 4.6% flat
194 Luxembourg 2.15 2030 down 1.1% flat
195 Belarus 2.14 2030 down 5.1% falling
196 Latvia 2.1 2030 down 12.3% falling
197 Slovenia 2.1 2030 down 5.8% falling
198 Andorra 2.07 2030 down 14.6% falling
199 Estonia 1.78 2030 down 8.6% falling
200 San Marino 1.26 2030 unchanged flat

Regions and income groups

Aggregates are excluded from the country ranking above so that a region can never outrank a country.

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Under 5 mortality rate - Current trends maintained by country. Statizoid, drawing on UNICEF. Retrieved 21 August 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/under-5-mortality-rate-current-trends-maintained-projection/

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About this data

Indicator
Under 5 mortality rate - Current trends maintained (projection)
Source
UNICEF
Licence
UNICEF Terms of Use (attribution required)
Coverage
212 places, 1,272 data points, 2025–2030
Last refreshed