Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Philippines
Philippines: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,456 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Philippines, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
The most recent figure for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Philippines is 1,456 deaths per 1,000 people, measured in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
The figure is up 0.5% on the previous year and up 7.6% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Philippines peaked at 1,456 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 707.9 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
That places Philippines 56th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the top quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Philippines, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 707.9 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 720.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2032 | 733.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2033 | 745.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2034 | 758.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2035 | 771.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2036 | 783.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2037 | 794.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2038 | 806.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2039 | 817.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2040 | 828.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2041 | 839.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2042 | 850.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2043 | 860.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2044 | 871.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2045 | 882.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2046 | 892.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2047 | 904.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2048 | 915.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2049 | 926.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2050 | 936.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2051 | 947.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2052 | 959.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2053 | 971.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2054 | 984 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2055 | 996.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2056 | 1,009 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2057 | 1,021 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2058 | 1,035 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2059 | 1,050 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2060 | 1,063 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2061 | 1,076 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2062 | 1,090 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2063 | 1,105 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2064 | 1,120 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2065 | 1,136 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2066 | 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2067 | 1,166 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2068 | 1,180 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2069 | 1,195 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2070 | 1,210 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2071 | 1,224 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2072 | 1,238 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2073 | 1,254 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2074 | 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2075 | 1,283 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2076 | 1,298 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2077 | 1,313 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2078 | 1,326 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2079 | 1,340 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2080 | 1,353 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2081 | 1,364 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2082 | 1,378 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2083 | 1,390 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2084 | 1,401 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2085 | 1,412 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2086 | 1,421 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2087 | 1,432 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2088 | 1,441 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2089 | 1,448 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2090 | 1,456 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
Philippines compared with similar countries
- Philippines's 1,456 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for upper middle income countries, which is 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.1× the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Philippines's 1,456 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 1,250 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.2× the median. (37 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 763.84 deaths per 1,000 people | 707.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 817.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 877.27 deaths per 1,000 people | 828.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 926.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 991.12 deaths per 1,000 people | 936.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,050 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,128 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,063 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,195 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,275 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,210 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,340 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,404 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,353 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,448 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,456 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,456 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,456 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Philippines
- 53 Armenia 1,466 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 54 North Korea 1,462 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 55 Argentina 1,462 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 57 Barbados 1,453 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 58 Greenland 1,447 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 59 Bonaire Sint Eustatius and Saba 1,446 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Philippines
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.24 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.5317 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 7,006 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 89 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -2.61 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.037 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -2.21 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0397 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Philippines?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Philippines was 1,456 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Philippines?
- The highest recorded value was 1,456 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Philippines?
- The lowest recorded value was 707.9 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Philippines rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Philippines ranks 56th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Philippines?
- Over the last ten years it is up 7.6%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Philippines data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.