Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Armenia
Armenia: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,466 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Armenia, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
The most recent figure for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Armenia is 1,466 deaths per 1,000 people, measured in 2090.
The figure is down 1.0% on the previous year and down 9.4% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Armenia peaked at 1,633 deaths per 1,000 people in 2077 and was at its lowest, 1,009 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
That places Armenia 53rd out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the top quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Armenia, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 1,009 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 1,026 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2032 | 1,045 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2033 | 1,066 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.0% |
| 2034 | 1,088 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.0% |
| 2035 | 1,110 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2036 | 1,133 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2037 | 1,157 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2038 | 1,181 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.0% |
| 2039 | 1,203 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2040 | 1,225 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2041 | 1,247 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2042 | 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2043 | 1,285 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2044 | 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2045 | 1,315 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2046 | 1,327 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2047 | 1,338 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2048 | 1,346 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2049 | 1,353 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2050 | 1,357 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2051 | 1,362 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2052 | 1,365 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2053 | 1,368 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2054 | 1,373 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2055 | 1,375 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2056 | 1,379 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2057 | 1,383 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2058 | 1,389 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2059 | 1,396 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2060 | 1,405 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2061 | 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2062 | 1,428 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2063 | 1,443 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2064 | 1,459 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2065 | 1,476 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2066 | 1,494 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2067 | 1,513 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2068 | 1,530 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2069 | 1,548 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2070 | 1,565 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2071 | 1,580 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2072 | 1,595 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2073 | 1,609 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2074 | 1,621 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2075 | 1,628 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2076 | 1,632 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2077 | 1,633 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2078 | 1,632 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2079 | 1,627 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2080 | 1,619 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2081 | 1,609 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2082 | 1,597 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.8% |
| 2083 | 1,582 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2084 | 1,566 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2085 | 1,548 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.1% |
| 2086 | 1,531 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.1% |
| 2087 | 1,513 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2088 | 1,496 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.1% |
| 2089 | 1,480 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2090 | 1,466 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
Armenia compared with similar countries
- Armenia's 1,466 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for upper middle income countries, which is 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.1× the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Armenia's 1,466 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.2× the median. (56 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 1,102 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,009 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,203 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 1,300 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,225 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,353 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 1,375 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,357 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,396 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,471 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,405 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,548 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,612 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,565 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,633 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,554 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,480 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,619 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,466 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,466 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,466 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Armenia
- 50 Moldova 1,492 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 51 Saint Barthelemy 1,471 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 52 Saint Helena 1,469 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 54 North Korea 1,462 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 55 Argentina 1,462 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 56 Philippines 1,456 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Armenia
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate -0.966 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 33 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 0.1726 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0282 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 0.5455 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0303 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Armenia?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Armenia was 1,466 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Armenia?
- The highest recorded value was 1,633 deaths per 1,000 people in 2077.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Armenia?
- The lowest recorded value was 1,009 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Armenia rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Armenia ranks 53rd out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Armenia?
- Over the last ten years it is down 9.4%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Armenia data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.