Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Norway

Norway: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,212 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising

Latest (2090)
1,212 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
down 0.3%
World rank
112th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,227 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2085
All-time low
832.5 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Norway, 2030–2090

02505007501.0k1.2k203020602090

Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.

Analysis

The most recent figure for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Norway is 1,212 deaths per 1,000 people, measured in 2090.

Compared with earlier readings it is down 0.3% on the previous year and down 0.1% over ten years.

Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Norway peaked at 1,227 deaths per 1,000 people in 2085 and was at its lowest, 832.5 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.

That places Norway 112th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Norway, year by year

Annual values for Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Norway, 2030 to 2090.
Year deaths per 1,000 people Change
2030 832.5 deaths per 1,000 people —
2031 846.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2032 860.6 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2033 875.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.8%
2034 891.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.8%
2035 908 deaths per 1,000 people +1.9%
2036 922 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2037 936.5 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2038 947.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2039 960.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2040 972 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2041 982.6 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2042 992.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2043 1,002 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2044 1,010 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2045 1,018 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2046 1,027 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2047 1,035 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2048 1,043 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2049 1,051 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2050 1,060 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2051 1,069 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2052 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2053 1,089 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2054 1,097 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2055 1,107 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2056 1,115 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2057 1,126 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2058 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2059 1,142 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2060 1,149 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2061 1,155 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2062 1,159 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2063 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2064 1,167 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2065 1,169 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2066 1,169 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2067 1,171 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2068 1,170 deaths per 1,000 people -0.0%
2069 1,170 deaths per 1,000 people -0.0%
2070 1,170 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2071 1,171 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2072 1,174 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2073 1,177 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2074 1,181 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2075 1,184 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2076 1,190 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2077 1,194 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2078 1,202 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2079 1,206 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2080 1,213 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2081 1,217 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2082 1,220 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2083 1,223 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2084 1,226 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2085 1,227 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2086 1,224 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2087 1,224 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2088 1,222 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2089 1,217 deaths per 1,000 people -0.4%
2090 1,212 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%

Norway compared with similar countries

  • Norway's 1,212 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 96% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
  • Norway's 1,212 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people, 96% of the median. (56 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 898.12 deaths per 1,000 people 832.5 deaths per 1,000 people 960.3 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2040s 1,013 deaths per 1,000 people 972 deaths per 1,000 people 1,051 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2050s 1,102 deaths per 1,000 people 1,060 deaths per 1,000 people 1,142 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2060s 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people 1,149 deaths per 1,000 people 1,171 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2070s 1,185 deaths per 1,000 people 1,170 deaths per 1,000 people 1,206 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2080s 1,221 deaths per 1,000 people 1,213 deaths per 1,000 people 1,227 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2090s 1,212 deaths per 1,000 people 1,212 deaths per 1,000 people 1,212 deaths per 1,000 people 1

Countries ranked near Norway

  1. 109 Guyana 1,225 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  2. 109 Hungary 1,225 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  3. 111 Luxembourg 1,220 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  4. 113 Micronesia (country) 1,203 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  5. 114 Guatemala 1,202 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  6. 115 Sierra Leone 1,199 deaths per 1,000 people compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More health data for Norway

All data for Norway →

Frequently asked questions

What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Norway?
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Norway was 1,212 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Norway?
The highest recorded value was 1,227 deaths per 1,000 people in 2085.
What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Norway?
The lowest recorded value was 832.5 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
How does Norway rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Norway ranks 112th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Norway?
Over the last ten years it is down 0.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Norway data come from?
The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Norway. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 05 October 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/norway/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.