Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Guatemala
Guatemala: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,202 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
1,202 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.8%
World rank
114th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,202 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
509.5 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Guatemala, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Guatemala stood at 1,202 deaths per 1,000 people. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
The figure is up 0.8% on the previous year and up 11.2% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Guatemala peaked at 1,202 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 509.5 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
Guatemala ranks 114th of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Guatemala, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 509.5 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 514.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2032 | 519.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2033 | 525.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2034 | 530.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2035 | 536 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2036 | 541.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2037 | 547.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2038 | 553.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2039 | 559.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2040 | 566.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2041 | 572.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2042 | 579 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2043 | 586.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2044 | 593.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2045 | 601.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2046 | 608.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2047 | 616.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2048 | 625.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2049 | 633.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2050 | 642.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2051 | 652.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2052 | 662.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2053 | 672.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2054 | 683.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2055 | 694.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2056 | 706.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2057 | 719.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2058 | 732.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2059 | 745.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2060 | 759.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2061 | 774.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2062 | 788.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2063 | 803.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2064 | 819.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2065 | 835.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.0% |
| 2066 | 851.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2067 | 868.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.0% |
| 2068 | 884.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2069 | 901.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2070 | 919.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2071 | 935.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2072 | 953.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2073 | 970.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2074 | 986.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2075 | 1,003 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2076 | 1,019 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2077 | 1,035 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2078 | 1,051 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2079 | 1,066 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2080 | 1,081 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2081 | 1,096 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2082 | 1,110 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2083 | 1,123 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2084 | 1,136 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2085 | 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2086 | 1,162 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2087 | 1,173 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2088 | 1,182 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2089 | 1,192 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2090 | 1,202 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
Guatemala compared with similar countries
- Guatemala's 1,202 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for upper middle income countries, which is 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people, 90% of the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Guatemala's 1,202 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Latin America & Caribbean, which is 1,420 deaths per 1,000 people, 85% of the median. (42 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 533.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 509.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 559.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 598.24 deaths per 1,000 people | 566.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 633.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 691.08 deaths per 1,000 people | 642.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 745.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 828.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 759.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 901.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 993.94 deaths per 1,000 people | 919.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,066 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,141 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,081 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,192 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,202 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,202 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,202 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Guatemala
- 111 Luxembourg 1,220 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 112 Norway 1,212 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 113 Micronesia (country) 1,203 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 115 Sierra Leone 1,199 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 116 Suriname 1,195 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 117 Marshall Islands 1,179 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Guatemala
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.92 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.7968 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 1,022 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -0.4059 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0487 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -0.3488 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0504 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Guatemala?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Guatemala was 1,202 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Guatemala?
- The highest recorded value was 1,202 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Guatemala?
- The lowest recorded value was 509.5 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Guatemala rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Guatemala ranks 114th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Guatemala?
- Over the last ten years it is up 11.2%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Guatemala data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.