Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Madagascar
Madagascar: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 920.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Madagascar, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Madagascar stood at 920.6 deaths per 1,000 people. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
The figure is up 0.5% on the previous year and up 6.3% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Madagascar peaked at 920.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 699.4 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2042.
Madagascar ranks 185th of 236 countries on this measure, in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Madagascar, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 719.1 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 716 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2032 | 712.5 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2033 | 710.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2034 | 707.8 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2035 | 705.2 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2036 | 703.8 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2037 | 702.5 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2038 | 701.7 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2039 | 700.5 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2040 | 699.7 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2041 | 699.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2042 | 699.4 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2043 | 699.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2044 | 699.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2045 | 699.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2046 | 700.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2047 | 701.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2048 | 703.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2049 | 705.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2050 | 707.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2051 | 709.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2052 | 711.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2053 | 714.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2054 | 717.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2055 | 720.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2056 | 724.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2057 | 728.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2058 | 732 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2059 | 736.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2060 | 740.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2061 | 745.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2062 | 749.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2063 | 754.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2064 | 759.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2065 | 765.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2066 | 771.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2067 | 776.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2068 | 782.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2069 | 789.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2070 | 796.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2071 | 801.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2072 | 808.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2073 | 815.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2074 | 822.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2075 | 830.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2076 | 837.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2077 | 844.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2078 | 852.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2079 | 859.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2080 | 866 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2081 | 873.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2082 | 880.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2083 | 885.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2084 | 890.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2085 | 895.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2086 | 900.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2087 | 906.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2088 | 911.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2089 | 916.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2090 | 920.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
Madagascar compared with similar countries
- Madagascar's 920.6 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for low income countries, which is 887.5 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.0× the median. (25 countries reporting)
- Madagascar's 920.6 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 887.35 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.0× the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 707.92 deaths per 1,000 people | 700.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 719.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 700.81 deaths per 1,000 people | 699.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 705.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 720.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 707.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 736.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 763.48 deaths per 1,000 people | 740.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 789.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 826.98 deaths per 1,000 people | 796.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 859.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 892.46 deaths per 1,000 people | 866 deaths per 1,000 people | 916.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 920.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 920.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 920.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Madagascar
- 182 Kyrgyzstan 938.9 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 183 Cook Islands 937.6 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 184 Burundi 929.4 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 186 Australia 906.6 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 187 Iraq 898.9 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 188 Niger 887.5 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Madagascar
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.87 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.4912 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 14,569 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 63 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 1.32 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.071 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 1.3 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0.0001 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0731 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Madagascar?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Madagascar was 920.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Madagascar?
- The highest recorded value was 920.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Madagascar?
- The lowest recorded value was 699.4 deaths per 1,000 people in 2042.
- How does Madagascar rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Madagascar ranks 185th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Madagascar?
- Over the last ten years it is up 6.3%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Madagascar data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.