Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Australia
Australia: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 906.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
906.6 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
down 0.9%
World rank
186th
of 236 countries
All-time high
944.5 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2081
All-time low
721.4 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Australia, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
Australia recorded 906.6 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090.
That represents a change of down 0.9% on the previous year and down 4.0% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Australia peaked at 944.5 deaths per 1,000 people in 2081 and was at its lowest, 721.4 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
That places Australia 186th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Australia, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 721.4 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 731.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2032 | 742.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2033 | 754.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2034 | 766.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2035 | 777.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2036 | 790.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2037 | 802.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2038 | 813.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2039 | 825.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2040 | 835.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2041 | 844.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2042 | 853.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2043 | 862 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2044 | 868.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2045 | 875.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2046 | 881.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2047 | 886 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2048 | 890.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2049 | 894.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2050 | 898.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2051 | 900.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2052 | 904.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2053 | 908.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2054 | 910.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2055 | 911 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2056 | 912.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2057 | 912.4 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2058 | 913.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2059 | 913.6 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2060 | 913.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2061 | 913.3 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2062 | 914 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2063 | 913.7 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2064 | 914.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2065 | 914.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2066 | 913.7 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2067 | 915.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2068 | 916.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2069 | 917.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2070 | 919.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2071 | 921.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2072 | 924 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2073 | 926.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2074 | 929.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2075 | 932.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2076 | 936.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2077 | 938.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2078 | 941.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2079 | 942.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2080 | 944 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2081 | 944.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2082 | 944 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2083 | 941.8 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2084 | 939.4 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2085 | 936.7 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2086 | 932.3 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2087 | 927 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2088 | 921.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2089 | 914.9 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2090 | 906.6 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
Australia compared with similar countries
- Australia's 906.6 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 72% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Australia's 906.6 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 1,250 deaths per 1,000 people, 73% of the median. (37 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 772.68 deaths per 1,000 people | 721.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 825.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 869.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 835.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 894.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 908.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 898.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 913.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 914.61 deaths per 1,000 people | 913.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 917.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 931.18 deaths per 1,000 people | 919.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 942.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 934.57 deaths per 1,000 people | 914.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 944.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 906.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 906.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 906.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Australia
- 183 Cook Islands 937.6 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 184 Burundi 929.4 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 185 Madagascar 920.6 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 187 Iraq 898.9 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 188 Niger 887.5 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 189 Central African Republic 887.2 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Australia
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.83 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate -0.9072 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 215 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2021)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 1.45 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0279 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 1.35 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0295 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Australia?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Australia was 906.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Australia?
- The highest recorded value was 944.5 deaths per 1,000 people in 2081.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Australia?
- The lowest recorded value was 721.4 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Australia rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Australia ranks 186th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Australia?
- Over the last ten years it is down 4.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Australia data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.