Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Libya
Libya: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Libya, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
Libya recorded 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
The figure is up 1.1% on the previous year and up 7.5% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Libya peaked at 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 522 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
Libya ranks 156th of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Libya, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 522 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 530.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2032 | 539.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2033 | 548.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2034 | 558.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2035 | 568.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2036 | 579.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2037 | 590.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.0% |
| 2038 | 602.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.0% |
| 2039 | 615.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2040 | 627.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2041 | 640.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.0% |
| 2042 | 654.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2043 | 668.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2044 | 682 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2045 | 696.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2046 | 711.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2047 | 726.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2048 | 741.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2049 | 757.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.2% |
| 2050 | 773.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2051 | 789.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2052 | 805.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.0% |
| 2053 | 819.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2054 | 835.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2055 | 851 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2056 | 866.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2057 | 880.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2058 | 894.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2059 | 907.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2060 | 919.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2061 | 931.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2062 | 941.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2063 | 952.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2064 | 960.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2065 | 967.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2066 | 973.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2067 | 979.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2068 | 984.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2069 | 987.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2070 | 990.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2071 | 992.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2072 | 994.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2073 | 994.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2074 | 996.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2075 | 997.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2076 | 998.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2077 | 1,001 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2078 | 1,003 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2079 | 1,006 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2080 | 1,008 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2081 | 1,012 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2082 | 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2083 | 1,022 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2084 | 1,028 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2085 | 1,034 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2086 | 1,043 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2087 | 1,051 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2088 | 1,062 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2089 | 1,073 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2090 | 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
Libya compared with similar countries
- Libya's 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for upper middle income countries, which is 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people, 81% of the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Libya's 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan, which is 898.9 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.2× the median. (23 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 565.53 deaths per 1,000 people | 522 deaths per 1,000 people | 615.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 690.58 deaths per 1,000 people | 627.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 757.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 842.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 773.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 907.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 959.89 deaths per 1,000 people | 919.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 987.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 997.34 deaths per 1,000 people | 990.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,006 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,035 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,008 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,073 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Libya
- 153 Western Sahara 1,102 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 154 Paraguay 1,098 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 155 Liberia 1,097 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 157 Canada 1,083 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 158 San Marino 1,081 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 159 Niue 1,076 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Libya
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.48 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 1.1 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 133 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2024)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -1.83 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0404 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -1.77 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0427 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Libya?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Libya was 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Libya?
- The highest recorded value was 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Libya?
- The lowest recorded value was 522 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Libya rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Libya ranks 156th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Libya?
- Over the last ten years it is up 7.5%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Libya data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.