Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Libya

Libya: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising

Latest (2090)
1,084 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 1.1%
World rank
156th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,084 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
522 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Libya, 2030–2090

02505007501.0k203020602090

Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.

Analysis

Libya recorded 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.

The figure is up 1.1% on the previous year and up 7.5% over ten years.

Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Libya peaked at 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 522 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.

Libya ranks 156th of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Libya, year by year

Annual values for Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Libya, 2030 to 2090.
Year deaths per 1,000 people Change
2030 522 deaths per 1,000 people —
2031 530.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2032 539.1 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2033 548.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.8%
2034 558.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2035 568.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.9%
2036 579.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.8%
2037 590.7 deaths per 1,000 people +2.0%
2038 602.5 deaths per 1,000 people +2.0%
2039 615.1 deaths per 1,000 people +2.1%
2040 627.8 deaths per 1,000 people +2.1%
2041 640.6 deaths per 1,000 people +2.0%
2042 654.3 deaths per 1,000 people +2.1%
2043 668.2 deaths per 1,000 people +2.1%
2044 682 deaths per 1,000 people +2.1%
2045 696.3 deaths per 1,000 people +2.1%
2046 711.1 deaths per 1,000 people +2.1%
2047 726.2 deaths per 1,000 people +2.1%
2048 741.5 deaths per 1,000 people +2.1%
2049 757.8 deaths per 1,000 people +2.2%
2050 773.5 deaths per 1,000 people +2.1%
2051 789.4 deaths per 1,000 people +2.1%
2052 805.1 deaths per 1,000 people +2.0%
2053 819.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.8%
2054 835.6 deaths per 1,000 people +1.9%
2055 851 deaths per 1,000 people +1.8%
2056 866.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.8%
2057 880.6 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2058 894.2 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2059 907.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2060 919.1 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2061 931.2 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2062 941.9 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2063 952.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2064 960.9 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2065 967.9 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2066 973.8 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2067 979.9 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2068 984.6 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2069 987.3 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2070 990.7 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2071 992.4 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2072 994.2 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2073 994.6 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2074 996.1 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2075 997.6 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2076 998.4 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2077 1,001 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2078 1,003 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2079 1,006 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2080 1,008 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2081 1,012 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2082 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2083 1,022 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2084 1,028 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2085 1,034 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2086 1,043 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2087 1,051 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2088 1,062 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2089 1,073 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2090 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%

Libya compared with similar countries

  • Libya's 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for upper middle income countries, which is 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people, 81% of the median. (58 countries reporting)
  • Libya's 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan, which is 898.9 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.2× the median. (23 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 565.53 deaths per 1,000 people 522 deaths per 1,000 people 615.1 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2040s 690.58 deaths per 1,000 people 627.8 deaths per 1,000 people 757.8 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2050s 842.3 deaths per 1,000 people 773.5 deaths per 1,000 people 907.4 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2060s 959.89 deaths per 1,000 people 919.1 deaths per 1,000 people 987.3 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2070s 997.34 deaths per 1,000 people 990.7 deaths per 1,000 people 1,006 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2080s 1,035 deaths per 1,000 people 1,008 deaths per 1,000 people 1,073 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2090s 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people 1

Countries ranked near Libya

  1. 153 Western Sahara 1,102 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  2. 154 Paraguay 1,098 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  3. 155 Liberia 1,097 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  4. 157 Canada 1,083 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  5. 158 San Marino 1,081 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  6. 159 Niue 1,076 deaths per 1,000 people compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More health data for Libya

All data for Libya →

Frequently asked questions

What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Libya?
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Libya was 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Libya?
The highest recorded value was 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Libya?
The lowest recorded value was 522 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
How does Libya rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Libya ranks 156th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Libya?
Over the last ten years it is up 7.5%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Libya data come from?
The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Libya. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 25 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/libya/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.