Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Canada
Canada: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,083 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
1,083 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
down 0.4%
World rank
157th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,091 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2086
All-time low
851.8 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Canada, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Canada stood at 1,083 deaths per 1,000 people.
That represents a change of down 0.4% on the previous year and up 0.0% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Canada peaked at 1,091 deaths per 1,000 people in 2086 and was at its lowest, 851.8 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
That places Canada 157th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Canada, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 851.8 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 862.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2032 | 874 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2033 | 887.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2034 | 899 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2035 | 913.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2036 | 927 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2037 | 941.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2038 | 955.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2039 | 968.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2040 | 981.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2041 | 995.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2042 | 1,008 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2043 | 1,020 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2044 | 1,032 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2045 | 1,041 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2046 | 1,051 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2047 | 1,059 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2048 | 1,066 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2049 | 1,073 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2050 | 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2051 | 1,082 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2052 | 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2053 | 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2054 | 1,083 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2055 | 1,081 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2056 | 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2057 | 1,074 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2058 | 1,070 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2059 | 1,065 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2060 | 1,059 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2061 | 1,054 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2062 | 1,048 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2063 | 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2064 | 1,040 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2065 | 1,037 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2066 | 1,036 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2067 | 1,036 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2068 | 1,036 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2069 | 1,038 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2070 | 1,041 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2071 | 1,044 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2072 | 1,048 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2073 | 1,052 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2074 | 1,056 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2075 | 1,062 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2076 | 1,065 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2077 | 1,071 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2078 | 1,074 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2079 | 1,079 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2080 | 1,083 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2081 | 1,086 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2082 | 1,088 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2083 | 1,089 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2084 | 1,089 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2085 | 1,090 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2086 | 1,091 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2087 | 1,091 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2088 | 1,089 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2089 | 1,087 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2090 | 1,083 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
Canada compared with similar countries
- Canada's 1,083 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 86% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 907.97 deaths per 1,000 people | 851.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 968.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 1,033 deaths per 1,000 people | 981.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,073 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,065 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,043 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,036 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,059 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,059 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,041 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,079 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,088 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,083 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,091 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,083 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,083 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,083 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Canada
More health data for Canada
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- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate -0.3588 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 385 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 0.5214 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.023 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 0.5024 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0242 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Canada?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Canada was 1,083 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Canada?
- The highest recorded value was 1,091 deaths per 1,000 people in 2086.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Canada?
- The lowest recorded value was 851.8 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Canada rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Canada ranks 157th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Canada?
- Over the last ten years it is up 0.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Canada data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.