Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Iran
Iran: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,361 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
1,361 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
down 0.6%
World rank
73rd
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,460 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2078
All-time low
540.6 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Iran, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
Iran recorded 1,361 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090.
The figure is down 0.6% on the previous year and down 6.6% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Iran peaked at 1,460 deaths per 1,000 people in 2078 and was at its lowest, 540.6 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
That places Iran 73rd out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Iran, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 540.6 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 552.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.2% |
| 2032 | 565.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.4% |
| 2033 | 579.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.4% |
| 2034 | 592.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.4% |
| 2035 | 606.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.4% |
| 2036 | 620.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.3% |
| 2037 | 635.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.4% |
| 2038 | 650.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.3% |
| 2039 | 665.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.3% |
| 2040 | 680.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.2% |
| 2041 | 695.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.2% |
| 2042 | 710.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.2% |
| 2043 | 725.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2044 | 740.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2045 | 756.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2046 | 771.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.0% |
| 2047 | 787.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2048 | 804.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2049 | 822.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.2% |
| 2050 | 840.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.2% |
| 2051 | 859.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.3% |
| 2052 | 878.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.2% |
| 2053 | 899.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.4% |
| 2054 | 921 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.4% |
| 2055 | 943.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.5% |
| 2056 | 966.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.4% |
| 2057 | 990.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.5% |
| 2058 | 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.6% |
| 2059 | 1,042 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.5% |
| 2060 | 1,070 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.7% |
| 2061 | 1,098 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.6% |
| 2062 | 1,128 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.7% |
| 2063 | 1,157 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.6% |
| 2064 | 1,187 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.6% |
| 2065 | 1,216 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.5% |
| 2066 | 1,244 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.4% |
| 2067 | 1,273 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.3% |
| 2068 | 1,302 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.2% |
| 2069 | 1,327 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.0% |
| 2070 | 1,352 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2071 | 1,374 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2072 | 1,394 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2073 | 1,412 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2074 | 1,428 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2075 | 1,439 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2076 | 1,450 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2077 | 1,456 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2078 | 1,460 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2079 | 1,459 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2080 | 1,456 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2081 | 1,451 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2082 | 1,443 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2083 | 1,434 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2084 | 1,424 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2085 | 1,412 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.8% |
| 2086 | 1,400 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2087 | 1,388 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.8% |
| 2088 | 1,378 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.8% |
| 2089 | 1,368 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2090 | 1,361 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
Iran compared with similar countries
- Iran's 1,361 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for upper middle income countries, which is 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.0× the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Iran's 1,361 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan, which is 898.9 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.5× the median. (23 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 600.96 deaths per 1,000 people | 540.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 665.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 749.43 deaths per 1,000 people | 680.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 822.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 935.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 840.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,042 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,200 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,070 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,327 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,422 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,352 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,460 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,368 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,456 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,361 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,361 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,361 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Iran
- 70 Isle of Man 1,398 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 71 Myanmar 1,398 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 72 Montserrat 1,382 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 74 Bahamas 1,358 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 75 Iceland 1,358 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 76 South Sudan 1,347 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Iran
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.38 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate -0.5627 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 1,070 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -1.88 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0311 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -1.95 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0327 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Iran?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Iran was 1,361 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Iran?
- The highest recorded value was 1,460 deaths per 1,000 people in 2078.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Iran?
- The lowest recorded value was 540.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Iran rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Iran ranks 73rd out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Iran?
- Over the last ten years it is down 6.6%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Iran data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.