Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Iceland
Iceland: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,358 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
1,358 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
down 0.5%
World rank
75th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,376 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2086
All-time low
692.4 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Iceland, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
Iceland recorded 1,358 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090.
The figure is down 0.5% on the previous year and up 3.3% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Iceland peaked at 1,376 deaths per 1,000 people in 2086 and was at its lowest, 692.4 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
Iceland ranks 75th of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Iceland, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 692.4 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 702.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2032 | 713.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2033 | 726 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2034 | 739.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2035 | 753.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2036 | 767 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2037 | 781.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2038 | 796.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.0% |
| 2039 | 812.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2040 | 825.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2041 | 838.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2042 | 853.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2043 | 866.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2044 | 878.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2045 | 893 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2046 | 904.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2047 | 917.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2048 | 928.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2049 | 938.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2050 | 947.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2051 | 956.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2052 | 964.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2053 | 973.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2054 | 981.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2055 | 988.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2056 | 996.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2057 | 1,004 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2058 | 1,012 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2059 | 1,020 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2060 | 1,027 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2061 | 1,037 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2062 | 1,045 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2063 | 1,056 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2064 | 1,067 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2065 | 1,079 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2066 | 1,091 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2067 | 1,105 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2068 | 1,120 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2069 | 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2070 | 1,149 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2071 | 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2072 | 1,179 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2073 | 1,196 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2074 | 1,213 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2075 | 1,230 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2076 | 1,249 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2077 | 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2078 | 1,283 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2079 | 1,300 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2080 | 1,315 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2081 | 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2082 | 1,345 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2083 | 1,358 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2084 | 1,366 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2085 | 1,372 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2086 | 1,376 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2087 | 1,375 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2088 | 1,371 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2089 | 1,365 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2090 | 1,358 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
Iceland compared with similar countries
- Iceland's 1,358 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.1× the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Iceland's 1,358 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.1× the median. (56 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 748.52 deaths per 1,000 people | 692.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 812.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 884.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 825.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 938.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 984.56 deaths per 1,000 people | 947.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,020 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,076 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,027 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,223 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,149 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,300 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,357 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,315 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,376 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,358 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,358 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,358 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Iceland
- 72 Montserrat 1,382 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 73 Iran 1,361 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 74 Bahamas 1,358 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 76 South Sudan 1,347 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 77 Fiji 1,339 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 78 Seychelles 1,333 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Iceland
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -100 % change on previous year (2085)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate -0.4982 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 0 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 0.1533 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0283 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 0.1097 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0302 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Iceland?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Iceland was 1,358 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Iceland?
- The highest recorded value was 1,376 deaths per 1,000 people in 2086.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Iceland?
- The lowest recorded value was 692.4 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Iceland rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Iceland ranks 75th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Iceland?
- Over the last ten years it is up 3.3%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Iceland data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.