Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Germany
Germany: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▼ Falling
Latest (2090)
1,164 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
down 1.0%
World rank
126th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,457 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2054
All-time low
1,164 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Germany, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
The most recent figure for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Germany is 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people, measured in 2090. That is the lowest value across all 61 years on record.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 1.0% on the previous year and down 8.9% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Germany peaked at 1,457 deaths per 1,000 people in 2054 and was at its lowest, 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2090.
That places Germany 126th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Germany, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 1,255 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 1,254 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2032 | 1,252 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2033 | 1,252 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2034 | 1,252 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2035 | 1,251 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2036 | 1,253 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2037 | 1,255 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2038 | 1,262 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2039 | 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2040 | 1,278 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2041 | 1,290 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2042 | 1,302 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2043 | 1,316 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2044 | 1,333 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2045 | 1,348 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2046 | 1,366 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2047 | 1,382 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2048 | 1,397 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2049 | 1,411 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2050 | 1,423 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2051 | 1,435 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2052 | 1,445 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2053 | 1,453 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2054 | 1,457 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2055 | 1,457 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2056 | 1,455 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2057 | 1,449 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2058 | 1,441 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2059 | 1,431 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2060 | 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2061 | 1,400 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2062 | 1,383 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2063 | 1,364 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.4% |
| 2064 | 1,346 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.4% |
| 2065 | 1,327 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.4% |
| 2066 | 1,311 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2067 | 1,299 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2068 | 1,289 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2069 | 1,281 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2070 | 1,276 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2071 | 1,273 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2072 | 1,273 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2073 | 1,274 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2074 | 1,275 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2075 | 1,277 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2076 | 1,280 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2077 | 1,281 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2078 | 1,281 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2079 | 1,279 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2080 | 1,277 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2081 | 1,272 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2082 | 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2083 | 1,256 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.8% |
| 2084 | 1,245 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.8% |
| 2085 | 1,233 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2086 | 1,219 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.1% |
| 2087 | 1,206 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.1% |
| 2088 | 1,191 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.3% |
| 2089 | 1,175 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.3% |
| 2090 | 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
Germany compared with similar countries
- Germany's 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 92% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Germany's 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people, 92% of the median. (56 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 1,256 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,251 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 1,342 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,278 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,411 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 1,445 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,423 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,457 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,342 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,281 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,416 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,277 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,273 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,281 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,234 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,175 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,277 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Germany
- 123 Guadeloupe 1,173 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 124 Turkmenistan 1,169 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 125 Czechia 1,169 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 127 Belgium 1,160 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 128 Bolivia 1,159 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 129 United States Virgin Islands 1,158 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Germany
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -2.13 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate -0.9955 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 368 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2000)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -2.18 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0216 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -2.2 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0228 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Germany?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Germany was 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Germany?
- The highest recorded value was 1,457 deaths per 1,000 people in 2054.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Germany?
- The lowest recorded value was 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- How does Germany rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Germany ranks 126th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Germany?
- Over the last ten years it is down 8.9%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Germany data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.