Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Belgium

Belgium: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,160 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising

Latest (2090)
1,160 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
down 0.3%
World rank
127th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,225 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2058
All-time low
993.6 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Belgium, 2030–2090

02505007501.0k1.2k203020602090

Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.

Analysis

Belgium recorded 1,160 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090.

The figure is down 0.3% on the previous year and down 2.7% over ten years.

Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Belgium peaked at 1,225 deaths per 1,000 people in 2058 and was at its lowest, 993.6 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.

That places Belgium 127th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Belgium, year by year

Annual values for Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Belgium, 2030 to 2090.
Year deaths per 1,000 people Change
2030 993.6 deaths per 1,000 people —
2031 998.8 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2032 1,005 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2033 1,013 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2034 1,023 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2035 1,032 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2036 1,043 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2037 1,053 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2038 1,065 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2039 1,076 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2040 1,089 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2041 1,100 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2042 1,113 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2043 1,124 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2044 1,134 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2045 1,144 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2046 1,155 deaths per 1,000 people +1.0%
2047 1,165 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2048 1,174 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2049 1,182 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2050 1,189 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2051 1,198 deaths per 1,000 people +0.7%
2052 1,205 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2053 1,210 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2054 1,216 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2055 1,219 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2056 1,222 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2057 1,224 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2058 1,225 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2059 1,224 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2060 1,221 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2061 1,221 deaths per 1,000 people -0.0%
2062 1,218 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2063 1,215 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%
2064 1,213 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2065 1,210 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%
2066 1,206 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%
2067 1,204 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2068 1,202 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2069 1,199 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2070 1,198 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2071 1,194 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%
2072 1,194 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2073 1,194 deaths per 1,000 people -0.0%
2074 1,196 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2075 1,195 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2076 1,195 deaths per 1,000 people -0.0%
2077 1,194 deaths per 1,000 people -0.0%
2078 1,194 deaths per 1,000 people -0.0%
2079 1,193 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2080 1,192 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2081 1,190 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2082 1,188 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2083 1,185 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2084 1,182 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%
2085 1,177 deaths per 1,000 people -0.4%
2086 1,174 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%
2087 1,171 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2088 1,167 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%
2089 1,163 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%
2090 1,160 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%

Belgium compared with similar countries

  • Belgium's 1,160 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 92% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
  • Belgium's 1,160 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people, 91% of the median. (56 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 1,030 deaths per 1,000 people 993.6 deaths per 1,000 people 1,076 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2040s 1,138 deaths per 1,000 people 1,089 deaths per 1,000 people 1,182 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2050s 1,213 deaths per 1,000 people 1,189 deaths per 1,000 people 1,225 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2060s 1,211 deaths per 1,000 people 1,199 deaths per 1,000 people 1,221 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2070s 1,195 deaths per 1,000 people 1,193 deaths per 1,000 people 1,198 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2080s 1,179 deaths per 1,000 people 1,163 deaths per 1,000 people 1,192 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2090s 1,160 deaths per 1,000 people 1,160 deaths per 1,000 people 1,160 deaths per 1,000 people 1

Countries ranked near Belgium

  1. 124 Turkmenistan 1,169 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  2. 125 Czechia 1,169 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  3. 126 Germany 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  4. 128 Bolivia 1,159 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  5. 129 United States Virgin Islands 1,158 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  6. 130 Jersey 1,155 deaths per 1,000 people compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More health data for Belgium

All data for Belgium →

Frequently asked questions

What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Belgium?
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Belgium was 1,160 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Belgium?
The highest recorded value was 1,225 deaths per 1,000 people in 2058.
What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Belgium?
The lowest recorded value was 993.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
How does Belgium rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Belgium ranks 127th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Belgium?
Over the last ten years it is down 2.7%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Belgium data come from?
The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Belgium. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 05 October 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/belgium/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.