Where does this China data come from?

The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in China

Name: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in China
Creator: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
License: CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)

China: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 2,029 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising

Latest (2090)

2,029 deaths per 1,000 people

Change on year

down 0.1%

World rank

9th

of 236 countries

All-time high

2,037 deaths per 1,000 people

in 2085

All-time low

888 deaths per 1,000 people

in 2030

Years of data

2030–2090

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in China, 2030–2090

Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.

Analysis

China recorded 2,029 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090.

The figure is down 0.1% on the previous year and up 2.0% over ten years.

Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in China peaked at 2,037 deaths per 1,000 people in 2085 and was at its lowest, 888 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.

That places China 9th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the top 10%.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.

Averages by decade

Decade	Average	Lowest	Highest	Years
2030s	992.33 deaths per 1,000 people	888 deaths per 1,000 people	1,104 deaths per 1,000 people	10
2040s	1,246 deaths per 1,000 people	1,130 deaths per 1,000 people	1,364 deaths per 1,000 people	10
2050s	1,514 deaths per 1,000 people	1,391 deaths per 1,000 people	1,634 deaths per 1,000 people	10
2060s	1,724 deaths per 1,000 people	1,656 deaths per 1,000 people	1,780 deaths per 1,000 people	10
2070s	1,874 deaths per 1,000 people	1,792 deaths per 1,000 people	1,969 deaths per 1,000 people	10
2080s	2,024 deaths per 1,000 people	1,988 deaths per 1,000 people	2,037 deaths per 1,000 people	10
2090s	2,029 deaths per 1,000 people	2,029 deaths per 1,000 people	2,029 deaths per 1,000 people	1

Countries ranked near China

6 Albania 2,085 deaths per 1,000 people compare
7 South Korea 2,072 deaths per 1,000 people compare
8 Mauritius 2,032 deaths per 1,000 people compare
10 Singapore 1,924 deaths per 1,000 people compare
11 Taiwan 1,916 deaths per 1,000 people compare
12 Lithuania 1,909 deaths per 1,000 people compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More health data for China

Number of infants who die before age 1 4,642 deaths (2100)
Deaths in armed conflicts based on where they occurred 0 deaths (2026)
Deaths in armed conflicts by region 0 deaths (2026)
Age population, age 25, male, interpolated 8.74 million (2025)
Age population, age 25, female, interpolated 7.51 million (2025)
Age population, age 24, male, interpolated 8.70 million (2025)
Age population, age 24, female, interpolated 7.46 million (2025)
Age population, age 23, male, interpolated 8.44 million (2025)
Age population, age 23, female, interpolated 7.21 million (2025)
Age population, age 22, male, interpolated 8.38 million (2025)

All data for China →

Frequently asked questions

What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in China?: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in China was 2,029 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in China?: The highest recorded value was 2,037 deaths per 1,000 people in 2085.
What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in China?: The lowest recorded value was 888 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
How does China rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?: China ranks 9th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in China?: Over the last ten years it is up 2.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this China data come from?: The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

Download this data

CSV · JSON — 61 observations, free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data).

About this data

Indicator: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit: deaths per 1,000 people
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence: CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage: 236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed: 07 August 2026

The number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.