Heat deaths vs projected death rates in China

China: Heat deaths vs projected death rates was 2,029 in 2090. ▲ Rising

Latest (2090)
2,029
Change on year
down 0.1%
World rank
9th
of 236 countries
All-time high
2,037
in 2085
All-time low
888
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090

Heat deaths vs projected death rates in China, 2030–2090

05001.0k1.5k2.0k203020602090

Source: Our World in Data.

Analysis

China recorded 2,029 for heat deaths vs projected death rates in 2090.

The figure is down 0.1% on the previous year and up 2.0% over ten years.

Over the whole period, heat deaths vs projected death rates in China peaked at 2,037 in 2085 and was at its lowest, 888, in 2030.

That places China 9th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the top 10%.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.

Heat deaths vs projected death rates in China, year by year

Annual values for Heat deaths vs projected death rates in China, 2030 to 2090.
Year Value Change
2030 888 —
2031 908.8 +2.3%
2032 930.9 +2.4%
2033 954.5 +2.5%
2034 978 +2.5%
2035 1,002 +2.5%
2036 1,027 +2.5%
2037 1,052 +2.4%
2038 1,077 +2.4%
2039 1,104 +2.4%
2040 1,130 +2.4%
2041 1,155 +2.3%
2042 1,181 +2.2%
2043 1,206 +2.2%
2044 1,233 +2.2%
2045 1,259 +2.1%
2046 1,285 +2.1%
2047 1,311 +2.0%
2048 1,337 +2.0%
2049 1,364 +2.0%
2050 1,391 +2.0%
2051 1,418 +2.0%
2052 1,446 +2.0%
2053 1,474 +1.9%
2054 1,502 +1.9%
2055 1,530 +1.9%
2056 1,557 +1.7%
2057 1,584 +1.7%
2058 1,609 +1.6%
2059 1,634 +1.5%
2060 1,656 +1.4%
2061 1,675 +1.2%
2062 1,692 +1.0%
2063 1,707 +0.9%
2064 1,722 +0.9%
2065 1,735 +0.7%
2066 1,746 +0.6%
2067 1,758 +0.6%
2068 1,769 +0.6%
2069 1,780 +0.6%
2070 1,792 +0.7%
2071 1,806 +0.8%
2072 1,822 +0.9%
2073 1,841 +1.0%
2074 1,859 +1.0%
2075 1,880 +1.1%
2076 1,902 +1.2%
2077 1,924 +1.1%
2078 1,947 +1.2%
2079 1,969 +1.1%
2080 1,988 +1.0%
2081 2,005 +0.8%
2082 2,017 +0.6%
2083 2,028 +0.6%
2084 2,035 +0.3%
2085 2,037 +0.1%
2086 2,036 -0.1%
2087 2,034 -0.1%
2088 2,032 -0.1%
2089 2,031 -0.1%
2090 2,029 -0.1%

China compared with similar countries

  • China's 2,029 is above the median for upper middle income countries, which is 1,332, 1.5× the median. (58 countries reporting)
  • China's 2,029 is above the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 1,250, 1.6× the median. (37 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 992.33 888 1,104 10
2040s 1,246 1,130 1,364 10
2050s 1,514 1,391 1,634 10
2060s 1,724 1,656 1,780 10
2070s 1,874 1,792 1,969 10
2080s 2,024 1,988 2,037 10
2090s 2,029 2,029 2,029 1

Countries ranked near China

  1. 6 Albania 2,085 compare
  2. 7 South Korea 2,072 compare
  3. 8 Mauritius 2,032 compare
  4. 10 Singapore 1,924 compare
  5. 11 Taiwan 1,916 compare
  6. 12 Lithuania 1,909 compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More health data for China

All data for China →

Frequently asked questions

What is heat deaths vs projected death rates in China?
Heat deaths vs projected death rates in China was 2,029 in 2090, according to Our World in Data.
What is the highest heat deaths vs projected death rates recorded in China?
The highest recorded value was 2,037 in 2085.
What is the lowest heat deaths vs projected death rates recorded in China?
The lowest recorded value was 888 in 2030.
How does China rank for heat deaths vs projected death rates?
China ranks 9th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
Is heat deaths vs projected death rates rising or falling in China?
Over the last ten years it is up 2.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this China data come from?
The figures come from Our World in Data, published as part of Heat deaths vs projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Heat deaths vs projected death rates in China. Statizoid, drawing on Our World in Data. Retrieved 10 November 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/china/

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About this data

Indicator
Heat deaths vs projected death rates
Source
Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed