China vs Taiwan: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

China
2,029 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Taiwan
1,916 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
China rank
9th
Taiwan rank
11th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • China
  • Taiwan
05001.0k1.5k2.0k203020602090

How they compare

China currently reports 2,029 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,916 deaths per 1,000 people in Taiwan, a difference of 113 deaths per 1,000 people.

That makes China's figure about 1.1 times Taiwan's.

The two have swapped places 1 time across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was Taiwan ahead.

China ranks 9th and Taiwan ranks 11th of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, China averaged higher in 2 and Taiwan in 5.

Head to head by decade

Decade China Taiwan Difference Ahead
2030s 992.33 deaths per 1,000 people 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people 115.55 deaths per 1,000 people Taiwan
2040s 1,246 deaths per 1,000 people 1,433 deaths per 1,000 people 186.47 deaths per 1,000 people Taiwan
2050s 1,514 deaths per 1,000 people 1,714 deaths per 1,000 people 199.5 deaths per 1,000 people Taiwan
2060s 1,724 deaths per 1,000 people 1,907 deaths per 1,000 people 183.14 deaths per 1,000 people Taiwan
2070s 1,874 deaths per 1,000 people 2,035 deaths per 1,000 people 160.55 deaths per 1,000 people Taiwan
2080s 2,024 deaths per 1,000 people 1,986 deaths per 1,000 people 38.59 deaths per 1,000 people China
2090s 2,029 deaths per 1,000 people 1,916 deaths per 1,000 people 112.7 deaths per 1,000 people China

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, China or Taiwan?
China, at 2,029 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,916 deaths per 1,000 people in Taiwan as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between China and Taiwan?
113 deaths per 1,000 people, with China ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for China and Taiwan?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do China and Taiwan rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
China ranks 9th and Taiwan ranks 11th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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China vs Taiwan: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 29 August 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/china/taiwan/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.