Births and deaths projected to 2100 by country

Countries reporting
236
Highest
11.68 million
China, People's Republic of
Lowest
11
Holy See
Median
41,337
Years covered
74
1950–2023
Data points
17,464

What the numbers show

Births and deaths projected to 2100 is currently reported for 236 countries. The highest value is 11.68 million in China, People's Republic of; the lowest is 11 in Holy See.

The median across all reporting countries is 41,337, and the mean is 261,193.

Over the past decade 193 countries rose and 41 fell. The largest increase was in Palestine, State of (up 170.1%), and the largest decrease in Eswatini, Kingdom of (down 35.1%).

Births and deaths projected to 2100: full country ranking

#Country LatestYear 10-year changeTrend
1 China, People's Republic of 11.68 million 2023 up 26.5% falling
1 Mayotte 852 2023 up 61.7% rising
2 India 9.51 million 2023 up 7.0% rising
2 Cook Islands 127 2023 up 0.8% falling
3 United States 2.98 million 2023 up 14.0% rising
3 Anguilla, United Kingdom-British Overseas Territory 96 2023 up 35.2% rising
4 Nigeria 2.68 million 2023 up 6.6% rising
4 Saint Helena 88 2023 up 37.5% rising
5 Indonesia 2.12 million 2023 up 10.2% rising
5 Montserrat, United Kingdom-British Overseas Territory 57 2023 up 9.6% falling
6 Russian Federation 1.79 million 2023 down 4.7% rising
6 Niue 27 2023 up 68.8% falling
7 Pakistan 1.60 million 2023 up 2.8% rising
7 Tokelau 2 2023 volatile
8 Japan 1.52 million 2023 up 16.6% rising
9 Brazil 1.49 million 2023 up 27.1% rising
10 Germany 1.03 million 2023 up 14.9% rising
11 Congo, Democratic Republic of the 901,849 2023 up 9.7% rising
12 Bangladesh 859,073 2023 down 5.0% falling
13 Mexico 799,360 2023 up 19.0% rising
14 Ethiopia, The Federal Democratic Republic of 767,017 2023 up 0.1% rising
15 Philippines 716,490 2023 up 27.4% rising
16 Italy 663,444 2023 up 10.8% rising
17 Vietnam 659,980 2023 up 20.3% rising
18 United Kingdom 653,745 2023 up 12.6% flat
19 Thailand 637,306 2023 up 35.9% rising
20 Egypt, Arab Republic of 625,449 2023 up 10.0% falling
21 France 616,096 2023 up 8.9% rising
22 South Africa 584,018 2023 up 7.2% rising
23 Türkiye, Republic of 551,598 2023 up 26.6% falling
24 Myanmar 495,469 2023 up 9.7% rising
25 Ukraine 495,420 2023 down 23.2% rising
26 Spain 447,467 2023 up 15.2% rising
27 Iran, Islamic Republic of 423,371 2023 up 14.2% falling
28 Poland, Republic of 412,308 2023 up 7.8% rising
29 Kenya 399,025 2023 up 23.6% rising
30 Tanzania, United Republic of 385,797 2023 up 5.3% rising
31 Argentina 349,197 2023 up 5.4% rising
32 Korea, Republic of 345,503 2023 up 29.2% falling
33 Sudan 320,493 2023 up 13.5% rising
34 Canada 311,827 2023 up 21.5% rising
35 Colombia 282,429 2023 up 21.6% rising
36 Romania 257,119 2023 up 1.5% rising
37 Korea, Democratic People's Republic of 255,828 2023 up 18.5% volatile
38 Angola 254,481 2023 up 1.5% rising
39 Afghanistan, Islamic Republic of 240,296 2023 up 0.0% falling
40 Côte d'Ivoire 238,740 2023 down 3.8% rising
41 Ghana 237,871 2023 up 6.3% rising
42 Uganda 235,582 2023 down 5.3% rising
43 Mozambique, Republic of 235,519 2023 down 8.1% rising
44 Madagascar, Republic of 234,840 2023 up 29.2% rising
45 Niger 231,745 2023 up 16.4% rising
46 Uzbekistan, Republic of 221,245 2023 up 21.8% rising
47 Algeria 214,261 2023 up 20.2% falling
48 Venezuela, República Bolivariana de 213,959 2023 up 23.2% rising
49 Chad 213,118 2023 up 9.4% rising
50 Morocco 212,621 2023 up 9.1% falling
51 Nepal 205,842 2023 up 5.7% falling
52 Taiwan Province of China 205,337 2023 up 28.7% rising
53 Mali 205,045 2023 up 4.7% rising
54 Cameroon 202,883 2023 down 2.9% rising
55 Yemen, Republic of 188,765 2023 up 21.6% falling
56 Iraq 186,263 2023 up 4.4% rising
57 Peru 185,863 2023 down 1.4% rising
58 Australia 183,927 2023 up 23.1% rising
59 Burkina Faso 183,374 2023 up 0.8% rising
60 Malaysia 181,173 2023 up 30.3% rising
61 Somalia 180,556 2023 up 8.8% volatile
62 Netherlands, The 166,336 2023 up 18.0% rising
63 Sri Lanka 162,453 2023 up 20.9% rising
64 Kazakhstan, Republic of 136,389 2023 down 1.4% rising
65 Guinea 131,457 2023 up 5.1% rising
66 Hungary 128,064 2023 up 1.6% rising
67 Chile 127,690 2023 up 19.2% rising
68 Greece 127,016 2023 up 11.8% rising
69 Zimbabwe 124,412 2023 down 13.2% rising
70 Benin 124,130 2023 up 14.9% rising
71 Belarus, Republic of 121,586 2023 down 2.0% rising
72 Syrian Arab Republic 118,896 2023 down 27.0% rising
73 Portugal 115,924 2023 up 11.5% rising
74 Belgium 113,798 2023 up 4.0% flat
75 Czech Republic 113,531 2023 up 3.9% rising
76 Malawi 113,185 2023 down 18.8% rising
77 Cuba 111,817 2023 up 16.2% rising
78 Cambodia 111,341 2023 up 21.6% volatile
79 South Sudan, Republic of 110,343 2023 down 1.2% rising
80 Zambia 107,913 2023 down 12.6% rising
81 Bulgaria 102,975 2023 down 1.1% rising
82 Senegal 100,883 2023 up 3.7% rising
83 Sweden 93,945 2023 up 4.0% rising
84 Serbia, Republic of 93,928 2023 down 5.7% rising
85 Austria 93,222 2023 up 17.0% falling
86 Ecuador 92,205 2023 up 20.4% rising
87 Burundi 91,958 2023 down 4.3% rising
88 Haiti 90,971 2023 up 7.0% rising
89 Bolivia 87,810 2023 up 5.6% rising
90 Guatemala 87,527 2023 up 9.7% flat
91 Rwanda 82,829 2023 up 13.2% volatile
92 Saudi Arabia 77,838 2023 up 10.8% rising
93 Tunisia 74,070 2023 up 13.2% falling
94 Switzerland 73,789 2023 up 12.7% rising
95 Togo 71,800 2023 down 1.4% rising
96 Dominican Republic 70,827 2023 up 25.2% rising
97 Sierra Leone 70,114 2023 down 17.0% rising
98 Azerbaijan, Republic of 67,841 2023 up 3.7% flat
99 Papua New Guinea 67,700 2023 up 16.9% rising
100 Finland 59,984 2023 up 16.7% rising
101 Denmark 57,275 2023 up 9.0% rising
102 Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China 57,190 2023 up 24.0% rising
103 Croatia, Republic of 55,029 2023 up 5.8% rising
104 Slovak Republic 54,173 2023 up 4.9% rising
105 Israel 51,299 2023 up 29.1% rising
106 Libya 48,610 2023 up 55.1% falling
107 Central African Republic 48,531 2023 down 27.4% volatile
108 Lao People's Democratic Republic 47,680 2023 down 3.8% rising
109 Honduras 47,669 2023 up 17.7% rising
110 Tajikistan, Republic of 47,593 2023 up 9.6% rising
111 El Salvador 47,448 2023 up 8.1% falling
112 Georgia 45,073 2023 down 4.1% flat
113 Liberia 44,329 2023 up 6.0% rising
114 Norway 44,144 2023 up 7.3% rising
115 Bosnia and Herzegovina 42,857 2023 up 7.4% rising
116 Turkmenistan 42,576 2023 up 17.5% rising
117 Kyrgyz Republic 42,201 2023 down 2.4% rising
118 Moldova, Republic of 41,730 2023 down 2.5% rising
119 Lithuania, Republic of 40,944 2023 down 1.3% rising
120 Paraguay 39,044 2023 up 25.6% rising
121 Palestine, State of 38,938 2023 up 170.1% falling
122 Congo, Republic of 38,880 2023 up 5.7% rising
123 New Zealand 37,684 2023 up 26.4% rising
124 Ireland 35,549 2023 up 22.4% falling
125 Jordan 34,872 2023 up 21.4% rising
126 Puerto Rico 34,665 2023 up 1.7% rising
127 Lebanon 34,424 2023 up 48.0% rising
128 Uruguay 33,141 2023 up 4.8% rising
129 Nicaragua 31,293 2023 up 5.0% falling
130 Costa Rica 27,863 2023 up 36.4% rising
131 Singapore 27,725 2023 up 34.3% rising
132 Mauritania, Islamic Republic of 27,722 2023 down 1.9% rising
133 Latvia, Republic of 27,613 2023 down 4.1% rising
134 Armenia, Republic of 27,577 2023 down 3.8% rising
135 Lesotho, Kingdom of 24,612 2023 down 22.8% rising
136 Albania 23,427 2023 up 14.8% falling
137 Jamaica 22,935 2023 up 28.3% rising
138 Slovenia, Republic of 21,577 2023 up 11.2% rising
139 Panama 21,275 2023 up 19.4% rising
140 Eritrea, The State of 20,977 2023 down 4.2% falling
141 Mongolia 20,338 2023 up 8.9% falling
142 North Macedonia, Republic of 19,865 2023 up 6.4% rising
143 Namibia 18,276 2023 down 18.5% rising
144 Gambia, The 16,974 2023 up 2.0% rising
145 Estonia, Republic of 16,691 2023 up 9.5% rising
146 Gabon 15,577 2023 up 9.5% rising
147 Guinea-Bissau 15,182 2023 down 7.5% rising
148 Equatorial Guinea, Republic of 14,554 2023 up 9.0% rising
149 Botswana 14,195 2023 down 24.4% rising
150 Trinidad and Tobago 12,577 2023 up 31.3% rising
151 Mauritius 11,122 2023 up 22.8% rising
152 Timor-Leste, Democratic Republic of 10,067 2023 up 11.6% falling
153 United Arab Emirates 9,915 2023 up 22.6% volatile
154 Oman 9,597 2023 up 14.2% falling
155 Cyprus 9,500 2023 up 36.7% rising
156 Eswatini, Kingdom of 9,472 2023 down 35.1% rising
157 Kuwait 8,628 2023 up 36.4% rising
158 Djibouti 8,597 2023 up 4.5% volatile
159 Fiji, Republic of 8,550 2023 up 10.7% rising
160 Montenegro 7,211 2023 up 14.3% rising
161 Comoros, Union of the 6,113 2023 up 5.5% rising
162 Guyana 6,047 2023 up 0.2% falling
163 Bhutan 4,805 2023 up 2.5% falling
164 Réunion 4,795 2023 up 23.8% rising
165 Luxembourg 4,645 2023 up 18.7% rising
166 Suriname 4,177 2023 up 1.9% rising
167 Solomon Islands 4,115 2023 up 25.2% rising
168 Malta 3,921 2023 up 25.6% flat
169 Western Sahara 3,677 2023 up 30.0% rising
170 Guadeloupe 3,559 2023 up 19.5% rising
171 Martinique 3,503 2023 up 17.0% rising
172 Bahamas, The 3,484 2023 up 22.9% rising
173 Macao Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China 3,418 2023 up 39.7% rising
174 Bahrain, Kingdom of 3,281 2023 up 31.7% rising
175 Barbados 2,999 2023 up 16.8% rising
176 Qatar 2,772 2023 up 23.3% volatile
177 Cabo Verde 2,640 2023 down 0.1% falling
178 Iceland 2,613 2023 up 20.7% rising
179 Brunei Darussalam 2,396 2023 up 45.3% rising
180 Belize 2,022 2023 up 14.8% rising
181 Curaçao, Kingdom of the Netherlands 1,846 2023 up 33.1% rising
182 New Caledonia 1,815 2023 up 19.3% rising
183 Vanuatu 1,633 2023 up 14.8% rising
184 St. Lucia 1,547 2023 up 21.4% rising
185 French Guiana 1,501 2023 up 54.4% rising
186 Samoa 1,333 2023 up 13.4% falling
187 United States Virgin Islands 1,315 2023 up 6.1% rising
188 São Tomé and Príncipe, Democratic Republic of 1,285 2023 down 7.0% flat
189 Maldives 1,232 2023 up 1.2% falling
190 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 1,160 2023 up 0.6% falling
191 Jersey 1,144 2023 up 36.7% rising
192 Guam 1,143 2023 up 23.7% rising
193 Seychelles 1,051 2023 up 34.6% rising
194 Grenada 1,039 2023 up 19.3% flat
195 Aruba, Kingdom of the Netherlands 1,032 2023 up 34.9% rising
196 French Polynesia 1,027 2023 up 26.0% flat
197 Kiribati 933 2023 up 18.3% falling
198 Isle of Man 885 2023 up 9.9% flat
199 Micronesia, Federated States of 856 2023 up 8.8% rising
200 Dominica 842 2023 up 4.1% flat
201 Monaco 810 2023 up 41.9% rising
202 Tonga 678 2023 down 0.3% falling
203 Antigua and Barbuda 641 2023 up 26.9% rising
204 Guernsey 589 2023 up 15.9% flat
205 Bermuda 568 2023 up 13.1% rising
206 Faroe Islands 558 2023 up 15.1% rising
207 Greenland 552 2023 up 17.9% rising
208 Andorra, Principality of 486 2023 up 10.5% volatile
209 St. Kitts and Nevis 467 2023 up 6.9% falling
210 Cayman Islands 352 2023 up 24.8% rising
211 Sint Maarten, Kingdom of the Netherlands 341 2023 up 88.4% volatile
212 Turks and Caicos Islands 335 2023 up 65.0% volatile
213 American Samoa 329 2023 up 15.8% rising
214 Liechtenstein, Principality of 296 2023 up 26.0% rising
215 Marshall Islands, Republic of the 272 2023 down 15.8% rising
216 San Marino, Republic of 267 2023 up 4.3% rising
217 Saint Martin 249 2023 up 80.4% volatile
217 Bonaire, Saint Eustatius and Saba 249 2023 up 55.6% rising
219 Gibraltar 243 2023 up 15.7% rising
220 British Virgin Islands 229 2023 up 47.7% rising
221 Northern Mariana Islands 203 2023 up 19.4% rising
222 Palau, Republic of 200 2023 up 30.7% rising
223 Tuvalu 85 2023 down 25.4% falling
224 Wallis and Futuna 84 2023 up 15.1% falling
225 Naoero, Republic of 81 2023 up 17.4% rising
226 St. Pierre and Miquelon 77 2023 up 26.2% rising
227 Saint Barthelemy 67 2023 up 91.4% volatile
228 Falkland Islands (Malvinas) 17 2023 down 10.5% falling
229 Holy See 11 2023 volatile

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Births and deaths projected to 2100 by country. Statizoid, drawing on Our World in Data. Retrieved 19 August 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/births-and-deaths-projected-to-2100/

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About this data

Indicator
Births and deaths projected to 2100
Source
Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 17,464 data points, 1950–2023
Last refreshed