Niue vs Tokelau: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Niue
1,076 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Tokelau
1,108 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Niue rank
159th
Tokelau rank
149th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Niue
  • Tokelau
05001.0k1.5k203020602090

How they compare

Tokelau currently reports 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,076 deaths per 1,000 people in Niue, a difference of 32 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 1 time across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was Niue ahead.

Niue ranks 159th and Tokelau ranks 149th of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, Niue averaged higher in 5 and Tokelau in 2.

Head to head by decade

Decade Niue Tokelau Difference Ahead
2030s 1,441 deaths per 1,000 people 573.27 deaths per 1,000 people 867.28 deaths per 1,000 people Niue
2040s 1,271 deaths per 1,000 people 645.28 deaths per 1,000 people 625.57 deaths per 1,000 people Niue
2050s 1,097 deaths per 1,000 people 718.5 deaths per 1,000 people 378.58 deaths per 1,000 people Niue
2060s 1,000 deaths per 1,000 people 757.45 deaths per 1,000 people 242.78 deaths per 1,000 people Niue
2070s 942.9 deaths per 1,000 people 875.42 deaths per 1,000 people 67.48 deaths per 1,000 people Niue
2080s 1,009 deaths per 1,000 people 1,040 deaths per 1,000 people 30.75 deaths per 1,000 people Tokelau
2090s 1,076 deaths per 1,000 people 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people 31.8 deaths per 1,000 people Tokelau

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Niue or Tokelau?
Tokelau, at 1,108 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,076 deaths per 1,000 people in Niue as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Niue and Tokelau?
32 deaths per 1,000 people, with Tokelau ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Niue and Tokelau?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Niue and Tokelau rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Niue ranks 159th and Tokelau ranks 149th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Niue vs Tokelau: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 02 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/niue/tokelau/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.