Burkina Faso vs South Africa: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Burkina Faso
1,142 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
South Africa
1,152 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Burkina Faso rank
135th
South Africa rank
132nd

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Burkina Faso
  • South Africa
02505007501.0k1.2k203020602090

How they compare

South Africa currently reports 1,152 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,142 deaths per 1,000 people in Burkina Faso, a difference of 10 deaths per 1,000 people.

Across all 61 years both countries report, South Africa has been ahead every year.

Burkina Faso ranks 135th and South Africa ranks 132nd of 236 countries.

South Africa has averaged higher in every one of the 7 decades both report.

Head to head by decade

Decade Burkina Faso South Africa Difference Ahead
2030s 743.32 deaths per 1,000 people 974.07 deaths per 1,000 people 230.75 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2040s 740.36 deaths per 1,000 people 1,038 deaths per 1,000 people 297.33 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2050s 781.05 deaths per 1,000 people 1,097 deaths per 1,000 people 315.83 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2060s 857.06 deaths per 1,000 people 1,140 deaths per 1,000 people 282.57 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2070s 954.47 deaths per 1,000 people 1,162 deaths per 1,000 people 207.55 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2080s 1,077 deaths per 1,000 people 1,159 deaths per 1,000 people 81.95 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2090s 1,142 deaths per 1,000 people 1,152 deaths per 1,000 people 10.6 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Burkina Faso or South Africa?
South Africa, at 1,152 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,142 deaths per 1,000 people in Burkina Faso as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Burkina Faso and South Africa?
10 deaths per 1,000 people, with South Africa ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Burkina Faso and South Africa?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Burkina Faso and South Africa rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Burkina Faso ranks 135th and South Africa ranks 132nd of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Burkina Faso vs South Africa: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 15 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/burkina-faso/south-africa/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.