Bangladesh vs South Africa: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Bangladesh
1,153 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
South Africa
1,152 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Bangladesh rank
131st
South Africa rank
132nd

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Bangladesh
  • South Africa
02505007501.0k1.2k203020602090

How they compare

Bangladesh currently reports 1,153 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,152 deaths per 1,000 people in South Africa, a difference of 1 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 1 time across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was South Africa ahead.

Bangladesh ranks 131st and South Africa ranks 132nd of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, Bangladesh averaged higher in 1 and South Africa in 6.

Head to head by decade

Decade Bangladesh South Africa Difference Ahead
2030s 541.19 deaths per 1,000 people 974.07 deaths per 1,000 people 432.88 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2040s 595.94 deaths per 1,000 people 1,038 deaths per 1,000 people 441.75 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2050s 676.78 deaths per 1,000 people 1,097 deaths per 1,000 people 420.1 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2060s 793.6 deaths per 1,000 people 1,140 deaths per 1,000 people 346.03 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2070s 939.81 deaths per 1,000 people 1,162 deaths per 1,000 people 222.21 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2080s 1,080 deaths per 1,000 people 1,159 deaths per 1,000 people 78.62 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2090s 1,153 deaths per 1,000 people 1,152 deaths per 1,000 people 0.7 deaths per 1,000 people Bangladesh

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Bangladesh or South Africa?
Bangladesh, at 1,153 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,152 deaths per 1,000 people in South Africa as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Bangladesh and South Africa?
1 deaths per 1,000 people, with Bangladesh ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Bangladesh and South Africa?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Bangladesh and South Africa rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Bangladesh ranks 131st and South Africa ranks 132nd of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Bangladesh vs South Africa: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 13 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/bangladesh/south-africa/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.