American Samoa vs South Africa: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

American Samoa
1,150 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
South Africa
1,152 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
American Samoa rank
134th
South Africa rank
132nd

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • American Samoa
  • South Africa
05001.0k1.5k203020602090

How they compare

South Africa currently reports 1,152 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people in American Samoa, a difference of 2 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 2 times across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was South Africa ahead.

American Samoa ranks 134th and South Africa ranks 132nd of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, American Samoa averaged higher in 3 and South Africa in 4.

Head to head by decade

Decade American Samoa South Africa Difference Ahead
2030s 964.31 deaths per 1,000 people 974.07 deaths per 1,000 people 9.76 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2040s 1,156 deaths per 1,000 people 1,038 deaths per 1,000 people 118.54 deaths per 1,000 people American Samoa
2050s 1,244 deaths per 1,000 people 1,097 deaths per 1,000 people 147.24 deaths per 1,000 people American Samoa
2060s 1,202 deaths per 1,000 people 1,140 deaths per 1,000 people 62.86 deaths per 1,000 people American Samoa
2070s 1,098 deaths per 1,000 people 1,162 deaths per 1,000 people 63.75 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2080s 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people 1,159 deaths per 1,000 people 80.95 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa
2090s 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people 1,152 deaths per 1,000 people 2.2 deaths per 1,000 people South Africa

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, American Samoa or South Africa?
South Africa, at 1,152 deaths per 1,000 people against 1,150 deaths per 1,000 people in American Samoa as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between American Samoa and South Africa?
2 deaths per 1,000 people, with South Africa ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for American Samoa and South Africa?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do American Samoa and South Africa rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
American Samoa ranks 134th and South Africa ranks 132nd of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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American Samoa vs South Africa: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 06 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/american-samoa/south-africa/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.