Statizoid

Under-five deaths - Remains constant (projection) by country

Countries reporting
198
Highest
902,385
Nigeria
Lowest
1
Niue
Median
1,569
Years covered
6
2025–2030
Data points
1,272

What the numbers show

Under-five deaths - Remains constant (projection) is currently reported for 198 countries. The highest value is 902,385 in Nigeria; the lowest is 1 in Niue.

The median across all reporting countries is 1,569, and the mean is 25,398.

Over the past decade 75 countries rose and 107 fell. The largest increase was in United Arab Emirates (up 22.9%), and the largest decrease in Cook Islands (down 50.0%).

Under-five deaths - Remains constant (projection): full country ranking

#Country LatestYear 10-year changeTrend
1 Nigeria 902,385 2030 up 4.5% flat
2 India 599,490 2030 down 2.2% flat
3 Democratic Republic of Congo 431,592 2030 up 9.6% rising
4 Pakistan 394,308 2030 up 3.0% flat
5 Ethiopia 190,437 2030 up 4.0% flat
6 Niger 131,595 2030 up 8.7% rising
7 Bangladesh 100,088 2030 down 4.7% flat
8 Tanzania 94,581 2030 up 7.8% rising
9 Chad 89,965 2030 up 9.0% rising
10 Somalia 86,758 2030 up 8.4% rising
11 Uganda 85,677 2030 up 2.8% flat
12 Sudan 82,928 2030 up 5.4% rising
13 Afghanistan 82,436 2030 up 4.6% flat
14 Mozambique 81,386 2030 up 7.7% rising
15 Indonesia 76,908 2030 down 2.4% flat
16 Mali 76,702 2030 up 10.1% rising
17 Angola 74,971 2030 up 9.9% rising
18 Cote d'Ivoire 68,491 2030 up 6.3% rising
19 Cameroon 65,954 2030 up 5.9% rising
20 Madagascar 65,641 2030 up 4.8% flat
21 Kenya 62,342 2030 up 5.7% rising
22 Burkina Faso 56,779 2030 up 4.2% flat
23 Egypt 56,042 2030 up 3.0% flat
24 Yemen 53,533 2030 up 1.3% flat
25 Philippines 49,474 2030 up 1.8% flat
26 China 48,177 2030 down 7.0% falling
27 Guinea 46,109 2030 up 3.0% flat
28 South Africa 40,326 2030 down 2.4% flat
29 Benin 37,710 2030 up 5.5% rising
30 South Sudan 37,148 2030 up 11.9% rising
31 Zambia 36,104 2030 up 7.8% rising
32 Malawi 34,938 2030 up 6.8% rising
33 Brazil 34,179 2030 down 6.0% falling
34 Zimbabwe 33,857 2030 up 6.0% rising
35 Ghana 32,979 2030 up 3.4% flat
36 Myanmar 31,418 2030 down 4.4% flat
37 Iraq 27,045 2030 up 5.2% rising
38 Mexico 25,314 2030 down 3.7% flat
39 United States 23,987 2030 up 1.2% flat
40 Central African Republic 23,849 2030 up 12.3% rising
41 Sierra Leone 23,592 2030 up 1.3% flat
42 Burundi 22,962 2030 up 5.5% rising
43 Vietnam 22,102 2030 down 6.2% falling
44 Senegal 20,951 2030 up 6.8% rising
45 Togo 17,283 2030 up 6.1% rising
46 Algeria 16,836 2030 down 10.8% falling
47 Rwanda 15,796 2030 up 5.0% flat
48 Liberia 15,411 2030 up 5.0% flat
49 Haiti 13,371 2030 down 1.4% flat
50 Nepal 13,073 2030 down 6.6% falling
51 Syria 12,379 2030 up 15.5% rising
52 Iran 11,845 2030 down 8.3% falling
53 Uzbekistan 11,505 2030 down 6.2% falling
54 Papua New Guinea 10,153 2030 up 0.8% flat
55 Turkey 9,762 2030 down 4.4% flat
56 Morocco 9,422 2030 down 3.6% flat
57 Venezuela 8,486 2030 up 4.1% flat
58 Congo 8,147 2030 up 8.9% rising
59 Guatemala 7,785 2030 up 0.3% flat
60 Colombia 7,628 2030 down 5.1% falling
61 Tajikistan 7,352 2030 down 2.0% flat
62 Mauritania 6,976 2030 up 7.8% rising
63 Peru 6,748 2030 down 2.6% flat
64 Cambodia 6,363 2030 down 3.1% flat
65 Russia 6,150 2030 down 6.7% falling
66 Dominican Republic 5,832 2030 down 4.7% flat
67 Turkmenistan 5,476 2030 down 9.9% falling
68 North Korea 5,115 2030 down 9.4% falling
69 Thailand 4,966 2030 down 4.4% flat
70 Argentina 4,901 2030 up 1.5% flat
71 Laos 4,553 2030 down 3.9% flat
72 Guinea-Bissau 4,512 2030 up 3.9% flat
73 Bolivia 4,095 2030 up 0.1% flat
74 Equatorial Guinea 4,026 2030 up 5.9% rising
75 Eritrea 3,766 2030 up 8.9% rising
76 Malaysia 3,708 2030 up 1.8% flat
77 Kazakhstan 3,646 2030 down 4.4% flat
78 Gambia 3,498 2030 up 0.9% flat
79 Honduras 3,472 2030 down 0.7% flat
80 Saudi Arabia 3,421 2030 up 3.9% flat
81 Ecuador 3,413 2030 down 1.5% flat
82 Lesotho 3,274 2030 down 0.8% flat
83 United Kingdom 3,171 2030 down 0.7% flat
84 Namibia 3,124 2030 up 1.6% flat
85 Jordan 2,997 2030 down 0.9% flat
86 France 2,779 2030 down 0.5% flat
87 Kyrgyzstan 2,495 2030 down 0.8% flat
88 Germany 2,461 2030 down 7.6% falling
89 Gabon 2,306 2030 up 2.9% flat
90 Azerbaijan 2,178 2030 down 1.4% flat
91 Paraguay 2,146 2030 down 3.3% flat
92 Canada 1,970 2030 up 0.6% flat
93 Botswana 1,966 2030 down 3.2% flat
94 Palestine 1,920 2030 up 0.2% flat
95 Sri Lanka 1,833 2030 down 2.6% flat
96 Ukraine 1,829 2030 up 9.7% rising
97 Japan 1,823 2030 down 1.2% flat
98 Tunisia 1,791 2030 down 9.4% falling
99 Lebanon 1,656 2030 up 1.6% flat
100 East Timor 1,482 2030 up 2.2% flat
101 Nicaragua 1,449 2030 down 2.3% flat
102 Eswatini 1,281 2030 down 2.6% flat
103 Romania 1,245 2030 down 5.7% falling
104 Djibouti 1,201 2030 up 1.4% flat
105 Libya 1,152 2030 down 3.2% flat
106 Chile 1,126 2030 down 3.4% flat
107 Poland 1,112 2030 down 14.0% falling
108 Panama 1,088 2030 down 0.4% flat
109 Australia 1,081 2030 down 1.5% flat
110 Spain 1,028 2030 down 3.2% flat
111 Italy 1,014 2030 down 2.6% flat
112 Comoros 968 2030 up 2.0% flat
113 El Salvador 944 2030 down 4.6% flat
114 Oman 922 2030 up 1.9% flat
115 Mongolia 787 2030 down 7.0% falling
116 Cuba 765 2030 down 5.6% falling
117 South Korea 718 2030 up 5.0% flat
118 Netherlands 699 2030 up 4.0% flat
119 United Arab Emirates 638 2030 up 22.9% rising
120 Israel 585 2030 up 1.9% flat
121 Jamaica 526 2030 down 8.2% falling
122 Costa Rica 511 2030 down 3.9% flat
123 Fiji 467 2030 down 2.9% flat
124 Solomon Islands 465 2030 up 6.4% rising
125 Moldova 463 2030 down 11.1% falling
126 Kuwait 424 2030 up 8.2% rising
127 Guyana 391 2030 down 5.3% falling
128 Belgium 373 2030 down 2.4% flat
129 Georgia 343 2030 down 7.0% falling
130 Bulgaria 324 2030 down 7.4% falling
131 Hungary 298 2030 down 6.0% falling
132 Switzerland 296 2030 down 7.2% falling
132 Serbia 296 2030 down 7.2% falling
134 Armenia 293 2030 down 13.8% falling
135 Slovakia 284 2030 down 11.2% falling
136 Portugal 274 2030 down 0.7% flat
137 Trinidad and Tobago 272 2030 down 8.1% falling
138 New Zealand 268 2030 down 3.6% flat
139 Greece 252 2030 down 7.0% falling
140 Uruguay 243 2030 down 1.6% flat
141 Austria 237 2030 down 6.7% falling
141 Denmark 237 2030 up 1.7% flat
143 Sweden 227 2030 down 4.2% flat
144 Albania 223 2030 down 13.6% falling
145 Czechia 210 2030 down 10.6% falling
146 Ireland 209 2030 up 2.0% flat
147 Qatar 196 2030 up 14.0% rising
148 Bahrain 181 2030 up 5.8% rising
149 Kiribati 178 2030 down 1.1% flat
150 Suriname 169 2030 down 1.2% flat
151 Bhutan 166 2030 down 1.8% flat
151 Mauritius 166 2030 down 6.7% falling
153 Kosovo (UNSCR 1244) 165 2030 down 4.6% flat
154 Vanuatu 162 2030 up 4.5% flat
155 Belarus 138 2030 down 9.2% falling
156 Bosnia and Herzegovina 137 2030 down 4.2% flat
156 Singapore 137 2030 up 4.6% flat
158 Croatia 134 2030 down 5.0% falling
159 Norway 131 2030 unchanged flat
160 Finland 102 2030 down 1.9% flat
161 Sao Tome and Principe 95 2030 up 6.7% rising
162 Belize 92 2030 down 2.1% flat
163 Samoa 81 2030 unchanged flat
164 Cape Verde 69 2030 down 2.8% flat
164 Lithuania 69 2030 down 8.0% falling
166 Cyprus 64 2030 down 9.9% falling
167 Brunei 57 2030 down 6.6% falling
168 Micronesia (country) 56 2030 unchanged flat
169 Bahamas 52 2030 down 1.9% flat
170 North Macedonia 43 2030 down 8.5% falling
171 Slovenia 37 2030 down 7.5% falling
172 Saint Lucia 32 2030 down 5.9% falling
172 Latvia 32 2030 down 8.6% falling
174 Barbados 30 2030 down 3.2% flat
175 Maldives 26 2030 down 13.3% falling
176 Seychelles 25 2030 unchanged flat
177 Dominica 23 2030 down 11.5% falling
178 Grenada 22 2030 down 8.3% falling
178 Tonga 22 2030 down 4.3% flat
180 Malta 21 2030 down 8.7% falling
181 Estonia 20 2030 down 9.1% falling
182 Marshall Islands 17 2030 down 15.0% falling
183 Luxembourg 15 2030 unchanged flat
183 Montenegro 15 2030 down 11.8% falling
185 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 13 2030 unchanged flat
186 Iceland 12 2030 unchanged flat
187 Antigua and Barbuda 10 2030 unchanged flat
188 Saint Kitts and Nevis 8 2030 down 11.1% falling
189 Palau 4 2030 unchanged flat
189 British Virgin Islands 4 2030 unchanged flat
191 Tuvalu 3 2030 down 25.0% falling
192 Nauru 2 2030 unchanged flat
192 Turks and Caicos Islands 2 2030 unchanged flat
194 Andorra 1 2030 unchanged flat
194 Monaco 1 2030 unchanged flat
194 Anguilla 1 2030 unchanged flat
194 Cook Islands 1 2030 down 50.0% falling
194 Niue 1 2030 unchanged flat

Regions and income groups

Aggregates are excluded from the country ranking above so that a region can never outrank a country.

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Under-five deaths - Remains constant by country. Statizoid, drawing on UNICEF. Retrieved 10 November 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/under-five-deaths-remains-constant-projection/

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About this data

Indicator
Under-five deaths - Remains constant (projection)
Source
UNICEF
Licence
UNICEF Terms of Use (attribution required)
Coverage
212 places, 1,272 data points, 2025–2030
Last refreshed