Expected share of deaths from non-communicable diseases by country
The estimated share of 30-year-olds who would die before their 70th birthday from common non-communicable diseases: any of cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes, or chronic respiratory disease.
Countries reporting
182
Highest
44.1%
Kiribati
Lowest
6.9%
South Korea
Median
19.2%
Years covered
22
2000–2021
Data points
4,070
What the numbers show
Expected share of deaths from non-communicable diseases is currently reported for 182 countries. The highest value is 44.1% in Kiribati; the lowest is 6.9% in South Korea.
The median across all reporting countries is 19.2%, and the mean is 19.0%.
The gap between the highest and lowest reporting country is a factor of about 6.
Over the past decade 29 countries rose and 150 fell. The largest increase was in United Arab Emirates (up 39.8%), and the largest decrease in Maldives (down 54.5%).
Expected share of deaths from non-communicable diseases: full country ranking
| # | Country | Latest | Year | 10-year change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kiribati | 44.1% | 2021 | up 3.0% | flat |
| 2 | Solomon Islands | 40.6% | 2021 | up 3.3% | rising |
| 3 | Micronesia (country) | 40.5% | 2021 | up 1.2% | falling |
| 4 | Fiji | 37.9% | 2021 | down 7.1% | falling |
| 5 | Vanuatu | 36.8% | 2021 | down 3.4% | falling |
| 6 | Lesotho | 36.3% | 2021 | up 3.1% | rising |
| 7 | Afghanistan | 32.7% | 2021 | down 12.1% | falling |
| 8 | Eswatini | 32.3% | 2021 | down 3.6% | flat |
| 8 | Samoa | 32.3% | 2021 | up 4.2% | flat |
| 10 | Philippines | 31.9% | 2021 | up 27.6% | rising |
| 11 | Haiti | 31.6% | 2021 | down 4.8% | falling |
| 12 | Zimbabwe | 31.2% | 2021 | down 7.1% | rising |
| 13 | Central African Republic | 30.8% | 2021 | down 11.7% | falling |
| 14 | Papua New Guinea | 28.5% | 2021 | down 3.7% | flat |
| 15 | Somalia | 27.6% | 2021 | down 6.8% | falling |
| 16 | Eritrea | 27.3% | 2021 | down 7.5% | falling |
| 17 | Tonga | 26.9% | 2021 | down 1.1% | falling |
| 18 | Mozambique | 26.6% | 2021 | down 5.3% | rising |
| 19 | Laos | 26.5% | 2021 | down 7.3% | falling |
| 20 | Mongolia | 26.3% | 2021 | down 23.8% | falling |
| 21 | Egypt | 26.0% | 2021 | down 10.7% | falling |
| 22 | Madagascar | 25.9% | 2021 | down 6.5% | falling |
| 23 | Yemen | 25.8% | 2021 | down 3.7% | falling |
| 24 | Turkmenistan | 25.7% | 2021 | down 5.2% | falling |
| 25 | Bulgaria | 25.6% | 2021 | up 2.0% | falling |
| 26 | Pakistan | 25.5% | 2021 | down 8.6% | falling |
| 27 | Guyana | 25.4% | 2021 | down 14.2% | falling |
| 27 | Togo | 25.4% | 2021 | down 9.0% | falling |
| 29 | Guinea-Bissau | 25.3% | 2021 | down 7.7% | falling |
| 30 | Democratic Republic of Congo | 25.1% | 2021 | down 2.3% | falling |
| 31 | Malawi | 24.9% | 2021 | up 2.5% | falling |
| 32 | Burundi | 24.8% | 2021 | up 0.4% | falling |
| 32 | Ukraine | 24.8% | 2021 | down 10.5% | falling |
| 34 | Angola | 24.7% | 2021 | unchanged | falling |
| 34 | Moldova | 24.7% | 2021 | down 12.4% | falling |
| 36 | Uzbekistan | 24.6% | 2021 | down 32.8% | falling |
| 37 | Cameroon | 24.3% | 2021 | down 9.3% | falling |
| 38 | Myanmar | 24.0% | 2021 | down 12.7% | falling |
| 39 | Sierra Leone | 23.9% | 2021 | down 9.5% | falling |
| 40 | Belarus | 23.8% | 2021 | down 23.2% | falling |
| 41 | North Korea | 23.7% | 2021 | down 11.9% | flat |
| 42 | Guinea | 23.6% | 2021 | down 10.3% | flat |
| 42 | India | 23.6% | 2021 | up 3.1% | rising |
| 42 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 23.6% | 2021 | up 17.4% | rising |
| 42 | Zambia | 23.6% | 2021 | up 0.9% | falling |
| 46 | Burkina Faso | 23.4% | 2021 | down 7.9% | falling |
| 46 | Chad | 23.4% | 2021 | down 7.5% | falling |
| 48 | Namibia | 23.1% | 2021 | up 2.7% | falling |
| 49 | Mali | 23.0% | 2021 | down 7.6% | flat |
| 50 | Cote d'Ivoire | 22.7% | 2021 | down 9.6% | rising |
| 50 | Iraq | 22.7% | 2021 | down 7.3% | falling |
| 50 | Latvia | 22.7% | 2021 | down 9.9% | falling |
| 50 | South Africa | 22.7% | 2021 | down 8.8% | flat |
| 54 | Cambodia | 22.6% | 2021 | down 6.6% | falling |
| 55 | Russia | 22.4% | 2021 | down 22.8% | falling |
| 55 | South Sudan | 22.4% | 2021 | up 31.0% | rising |
| 57 | Ghana | 22.2% | 2021 | down 12.6% | falling |
| 58 | Georgia | 22.1% | 2021 | down 14.7% | falling |
| 59 | Liberia | 22.0% | 2021 | down 8.7% | flat |
| 59 | Morocco | 22.0% | 2021 | down 3.9% | falling |
| 61 | Indonesia | 21.9% | 2021 | down 14.8% | falling |
| 62 | Gambia | 21.8% | 2021 | down 5.2% | falling |
| 63 | Hungary | 21.7% | 2021 | down 11.4% | falling |
| 63 | Mauritius | 21.7% | 2021 | down 9.2% | falling |
| 65 | Romania | 21.5% | 2021 | down 2.7% | falling |
| 65 | Uganda | 21.5% | 2021 | down 6.9% | falling |
| 67 | Senegal | 21.4% | 2021 | down 6.1% | falling |
| 68 | Syria | 21.3% | 2021 | down 3.2% | falling |
| 69 | Congo | 21.2% | 2021 | down 18.1% | falling |
| 69 | Kazakhstan | 21.2% | 2021 | down 30.0% | falling |
| 69 | Sudan | 21.2% | 2021 | down 10.5% | falling |
| 72 | Benin | 20.8% | 2021 | down 7.6% | falling |
| 73 | Serbia | 20.7% | 2021 | down 10.4% | falling |
| 74 | Armenia | 20.6% | 2021 | down 13.1% | falling |
| 74 | Djibouti | 20.6% | 2021 | down 1.0% | flat |
| 76 | Bahamas | 20.4% | 2021 | down 4.2% | falling |
| 77 | Equatorial Guinea | 20.3% | 2021 | up 0.5% | falling |
| 77 | Trinidad and Tobago | 20.3% | 2021 | down 0.5% | falling |
| 79 | Comoros | 20.2% | 2021 | down 5.2% | falling |
| 79 | Jamaica | 20.2% | 2021 | up 17.4% | flat |
| 79 | Niger | 20.2% | 2021 | unchanged | flat |
| 82 | East Timor | 20.1% | 2021 | down 6.5% | flat |
| 82 | Vietnam | 20.1% | 2021 | down 6.9% | flat |
| 84 | Rwanda | 20.0% | 2021 | down 4.3% | falling |
| 85 | Bolivia | 19.9% | 2021 | up 12.4% | falling |
| 85 | Malaysia | 19.9% | 2021 | up 4.7% | falling |
| 87 | Libya | 19.8% | 2021 | down 3.9% | flat |
| 87 | Lithuania | 19.8% | 2021 | down 16.5% | falling |
| 89 | North Macedonia | 19.6% | 2021 | down 13.3% | falling |
| 90 | Sao Tome and Principe | 19.5% | 2021 | unchanged | falling |
| 91 | Nepal | 19.4% | 2021 | down 1.0% | rising |
| 92 | Botswana | 19.0% | 2021 | down 24.9% | flat |
| 93 | Kyrgyzstan | 18.8% | 2021 | down 34.3% | falling |
| 93 | Tanzania | 18.8% | 2021 | up 8.7% | falling |
| 95 | Mauritania | 18.7% | 2021 | up 5.1% | falling |
| 95 | Suriname | 18.7% | 2021 | down 5.6% | falling |
| 95 | Venezuela | 18.7% | 2021 | up 15.4% | rising |
| 98 | Palestine | 18.3% | 2021 | down 21.1% | falling |
| 99 | Bangladesh | 18.1% | 2021 | down 13.0% | falling |
| 99 | Gabon | 18.1% | 2021 | down 20.3% | falling |
| 99 | Tajikistan | 18.1% | 2021 | down 28.2% | falling |
| 102 | Kenya | 18.0% | 2021 | down 4.8% | rising |
| 102 | Montenegro | 18.0% | 2021 | down 17.1% | falling |
| 104 | Honduras | 17.8% | 2021 | down 1.1% | rising |
| 105 | Nigeria | 17.7% | 2021 | down 2.2% | falling |
| 106 | Cuba | 17.6% | 2021 | up 8.6% | falling |
| 107 | Azerbaijan | 17.4% | 2021 | down 33.6% | falling |
| 107 | Dominican Republic | 17.4% | 2021 | up 6.1% | rising |
| 107 | Uruguay | 17.4% | 2021 | down 1.7% | falling |
| 110 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 17.2% | 2021 | down 12.2% | falling |
| 110 | Cape Verde | 17.2% | 2021 | up 19.4% | flat |
| 112 | Grenada | 17.1% | 2021 | down 24.7% | falling |
| 113 | Poland | 17.0% | 2021 | down 15.0% | falling |
| 114 | Ethiopia | 16.8% | 2021 | down 8.7% | falling |
| 115 | Slovakia | 16.6% | 2021 | down 15.7% | falling |
| 116 | Mexico | 16.3% | 2021 | up 3.2% | falling |
| 117 | Paraguay | 16.1% | 2021 | down 6.4% | falling |
| 118 | Bhutan | 15.9% | 2021 | down 10.7% | falling |
| 118 | China | 15.9% | 2021 | down 16.3% | falling |
| 118 | Croatia | 15.9% | 2021 | down 11.7% | falling |
| 121 | Seychelles | 15.6% | 2021 | down 26.1% | falling |
| 122 | Estonia | 15.5% | 2021 | down 19.3% | falling |
| 122 | Saint Lucia | 15.5% | 2021 | down 4.9% | falling |
| 124 | Belize | 15.4% | 2021 | down 10.5% | falling |
| 124 | Turkey | 15.4% | 2021 | down 16.8% | falling |
| 126 | Brunei | 14.9% | 2021 | down 3.2% | falling |
| 127 | Bahrain | 14.8% | 2021 | down 21.7% | falling |
| 128 | Guatemala | 14.6% | 2021 | down 0.7% | rising |
| 128 | Oman | 14.6% | 2021 | down 42.7% | falling |
| 130 | Brazil | 14.5% | 2021 | down 16.2% | falling |
| 130 | Thailand | 14.5% | 2021 | down 1.4% | falling |
| 132 | Czechia | 14.2% | 2021 | down 18.4% | falling |
| 133 | Barbados | 14.0% | 2021 | down 20.9% | falling |
| 134 | Iran | 13.9% | 2021 | down 6.7% | falling |
| 134 | Sri Lanka | 13.9% | 2021 | down 24.0% | falling |
| 136 | United States | 13.7% | 2021 | down 4.2% | falling |
| 137 | Saudi Arabia | 13.6% | 2021 | down 3.5% | falling |
| 138 | Argentina | 13.4% | 2021 | down 21.6% | falling |
| 139 | Algeria | 13.3% | 2021 | down 11.9% | falling |
| 140 | Ecuador | 13.2% | 2021 | up 2.3% | falling |
| 141 | Tunisia | 13.0% | 2021 | down 18.8% | falling |
| 142 | Nicaragua | 12.6% | 2021 | down 10.0% | falling |
| 142 | El Salvador | 12.6% | 2021 | up 3.3% | rising |
| 144 | Peru | 12.3% | 2021 | up 28.1% | rising |
| 145 | Antigua and Barbuda | 12.1% | 2021 | down 25.8% | falling |
| 145 | Qatar | 12.1% | 2021 | down 34.9% | falling |
| 147 | Greece | 12.0% | 2021 | down 7.7% | falling |
| 148 | Lebanon | 11.9% | 2021 | down 16.2% | falling |
| 149 | United Arab Emirates | 11.6% | 2021 | up 39.8% | falling |
| 149 | Germany | 11.6% | 2021 | down 9.4% | falling |
| 149 | Jordan | 11.6% | 2021 | down 33.3% | falling |
| 149 | Slovenia | 11.6% | 2021 | down 12.8% | falling |
| 153 | United Kingdom | 11.0% | 2021 | down 7.6% | falling |
| 154 | Panama | 10.9% | 2021 | down 6.0% | falling |
| 155 | Denmark | 10.7% | 2021 | down 17.1% | falling |
| 156 | Portugal | 10.5% | 2021 | down 13.9% | falling |
| 157 | Colombia | 10.3% | 2021 | down 5.5% | falling |
| 157 | New Zealand | 10.3% | 2021 | down 13.4% | falling |
| 157 | Singapore | 10.3% | 2021 | down 5.5% | falling |
| 160 | France | 10.2% | 2021 | down 11.3% | falling |
| 161 | Puerto Rico | 10.1% | 2021 | down 18.5% | falling |
| 162 | Albania | 10.0% | 2021 | down 46.5% | falling |
| 163 | Austria | 9.9% | 2021 | down 18.9% | falling |
| 163 | Costa Rica | 9.9% | 2021 | down 2.0% | falling |
| 163 | Netherlands | 9.9% | 2021 | down 18.2% | falling |
| 167 | Canada | 9.7% | 2021 | down 11.0% | falling |
| 168 | Finland | 9.6% | 2021 | down 17.9% | falling |
| 170 | Chile | 9.4% | 2021 | down 25.4% | falling |
| 171 | Spain | 9.3% | 2021 | down 14.7% | falling |
| 171 | Kuwait | 9.3% | 2021 | down 20.5% | falling |
| 173 | Belgium | 9.2% | 2021 | down 27.0% | falling |
| 174 | Italy | 9.1% | 2021 | down 14.2% | falling |
| 175 | Maldives | 9.0% | 2021 | down 54.5% | falling |
| 176 | Cyprus | 8.5% | 2021 | down 14.1% | falling |
| 176 | Iceland | 8.5% | 2021 | down 12.4% | falling |
| 178 | Australia | 8.3% | 2021 | down 15.3% | falling |
| 179 | Japan | 8.0% | 2021 | down 16.7% | falling |
| 180 | Sweden | 7.9% | 2021 | down 21.8% | falling |
| 181 | Norway | 7.8% | 2021 | down 27.8% | falling |
| 183 | Israel | 7.6% | 2021 | down 24.0% | falling |
| 184 | Switzerland | 7.5% | 2021 | down 20.2% | falling |
| 185 | South Korea | 6.9% | 2021 | down 33.0% | falling |
About this data
The estimated share of 30-year-olds who would die before their 70th birthday from common non-communicable diseases: any of cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes, or chronic respiratory disease.