Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in United States
United States: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared was 1,069 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
1,069 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
down 0.2%
World rank
165th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,102 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2051
All-time low
936.2 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in United States, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
United States recorded 1,069 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090.
That represents a change of down 0.2% on the previous year and down 1.4% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in United States peaked at 1,102 deaths per 1,000 people in 2051 and was at its lowest, 936.2 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
That places United States 165th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in United States, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 936.2 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 947.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2032 | 958.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2033 | 969.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2034 | 980.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2035 | 992.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2036 | 1,004 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2037 | 1,015 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2038 | 1,026 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2039 | 1,037 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2040 | 1,047 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2041 | 1,056 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2042 | 1,065 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2043 | 1,073 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2044 | 1,080 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2045 | 1,085 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2046 | 1,089 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2047 | 1,094 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2048 | 1,098 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2049 | 1,100 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2050 | 1,102 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2051 | 1,102 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2052 | 1,101 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2053 | 1,099 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2054 | 1,097 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2055 | 1,094 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2056 | 1,090 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2057 | 1,086 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2058 | 1,082 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2059 | 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2060 | 1,072 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2061 | 1,068 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2062 | 1,064 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2063 | 1,061 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2064 | 1,058 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2065 | 1,056 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2066 | 1,055 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2067 | 1,055 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2068 | 1,057 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2069 | 1,057 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2070 | 1,059 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2071 | 1,062 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2072 | 1,065 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2073 | 1,068 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2074 | 1,071 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2075 | 1,074 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2076 | 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2077 | 1,080 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2078 | 1,081 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2079 | 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2080 | 1,085 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2081 | 1,085 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2082 | 1,085 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2083 | 1,085 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2084 | 1,082 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2085 | 1,080 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2086 | 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2087 | 1,076 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2088 | 1,073 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2089 | 1,071 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2090 | 1,069 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
United States compared with similar countries
- United States's 1,069 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 84% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 986.41 deaths per 1,000 people | 936.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,037 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 1,079 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,047 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,100 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 1,093 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,078 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,102 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,060 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,055 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,072 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,072 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,059 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,084 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,080 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,071 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,085 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,069 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,069 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,069 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near United States
- 162 Panama 1,074 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 163 Chad 1,071 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 164 Guinea-Bissau 1,070 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 166 Liechtenstein 1,058 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 167 Honduras 1,052 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 168 Namibia 1,046 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for United States
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.67 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate -0.1867 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 4,015 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2023)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate 0.056 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0261 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 0.1919 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0274 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in United States?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in United States was 1,069 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in United States?
- The highest recorded value was 1,102 deaths per 1,000 people in 2051.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in United States?
- The lowest recorded value was 936.2 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does United States rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- United States ranks 165th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in United States?
- Over the last ten years it is down 1.4%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this United States data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.