Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in United Arab Emirates

United Arab Emirates: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared was 308.9 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising

Latest (2090)
308.9 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 3.0%
World rank
234th
of 236 countries
All-time high
308.9 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
92.3 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2037
Years of data
61
2030–2090

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in United Arab Emirates, 2030–2090

100150200250300203020602090

Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.

Analysis

United Arab Emirates recorded 308.9 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.

That represents a change of up 3.0% on the previous year and up 59.0% over ten years.

Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in United Arab Emirates peaked at 308.9 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 92.3 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2037.

That places United Arab Emirates 234th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the bottom quarter.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared in United Arab Emirates, year by year

Annual values for Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in United Arab Emirates, 2030 to 2090.
Year deaths per 1,000 people Change
2030 93.9 deaths per 1,000 people —
2031 93.5 deaths per 1,000 people -0.4%
2032 93.3 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2033 92.9 deaths per 1,000 people -0.4%
2034 92.7 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2035 92.6 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2036 92.5 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2037 92.3 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2038 92.4 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2039 92.5 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2040 92.8 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2041 93.3 deaths per 1,000 people +0.5%
2042 94 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2043 95.1 deaths per 1,000 people +1.2%
2044 96.6 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2045 98.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.9%
2046 100.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.9%
2047 102.6 deaths per 1,000 people +2.3%
2048 104.9 deaths per 1,000 people +2.2%
2049 107.4 deaths per 1,000 people +2.4%
2050 109.5 deaths per 1,000 people +2.0%
2051 111.4 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2052 113 deaths per 1,000 people +1.4%
2053 114 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2054 114.5 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2055 114.8 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2056 114.4 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%
2057 113.9 deaths per 1,000 people -0.4%
2058 113.1 deaths per 1,000 people -0.7%
2059 112.1 deaths per 1,000 people -0.9%
2060 111 deaths per 1,000 people -1.0%
2061 109.7 deaths per 1,000 people -1.2%
2062 108.4 deaths per 1,000 people -1.2%
2063 107.3 deaths per 1,000 people -1.0%
2064 106.3 deaths per 1,000 people -0.9%
2065 105.5 deaths per 1,000 people -0.8%
2066 105.3 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2067 105.4 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2068 106.3 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2069 108 deaths per 1,000 people +1.6%
2070 110.5 deaths per 1,000 people +2.3%
2071 114.2 deaths per 1,000 people +3.3%
2072 119 deaths per 1,000 people +4.2%
2073 124.8 deaths per 1,000 people +4.9%
2074 131.9 deaths per 1,000 people +5.7%
2075 139.9 deaths per 1,000 people +6.1%
2076 149 deaths per 1,000 people +6.5%
2077 159.2 deaths per 1,000 people +6.8%
2078 170.3 deaths per 1,000 people +7.0%
2079 182.1 deaths per 1,000 people +6.9%
2080 194.3 deaths per 1,000 people +6.7%
2081 206.9 deaths per 1,000 people +6.5%
2082 219.8 deaths per 1,000 people +6.2%
2083 232.5 deaths per 1,000 people +5.8%
2084 245 deaths per 1,000 people +5.4%
2085 257.1 deaths per 1,000 people +4.9%
2086 268.9 deaths per 1,000 people +4.6%
2087 279.8 deaths per 1,000 people +4.1%
2088 290.4 deaths per 1,000 people +3.8%
2089 300 deaths per 1,000 people +3.3%
2090 308.9 deaths per 1,000 people +3.0%

United Arab Emirates compared with similar countries

  • United Arab Emirates's 308.9 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 24% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
  • United Arab Emirates's 308.9 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan, which is 898.9 deaths per 1,000 people, 34% of the median. (23 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 92.86 deaths per 1,000 people 92.3 deaths per 1,000 people 93.9 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2040s 98.54 deaths per 1,000 people 92.8 deaths per 1,000 people 107.4 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2050s 113.07 deaths per 1,000 people 109.5 deaths per 1,000 people 114.8 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2060s 107.32 deaths per 1,000 people 105.3 deaths per 1,000 people 111 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2070s 140.09 deaths per 1,000 people 110.5 deaths per 1,000 people 182.1 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2080s 249.47 deaths per 1,000 people 194.3 deaths per 1,000 people 300 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2090s 308.9 deaths per 1,000 people 308.9 deaths per 1,000 people 308.9 deaths per 1,000 people 1

Countries ranked near United Arab Emirates

  1. 231 Bahrain 476.9 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  2. 232 Mayotte 441.2 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  3. 233 Oman 429.2 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  4. 235 Kuwait 287.2 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  5. 236 Qatar 185.5 deaths per 1,000 people compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More health data for United Arab Emirates

All data for United Arab Emirates →

Frequently asked questions

What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in United Arab Emirates?
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in United Arab Emirates was 308.9 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in United Arab Emirates?
The highest recorded value was 308.9 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in United Arab Emirates?
The lowest recorded value was 92.3 deaths per 1,000 people in 2037.
How does United Arab Emirates rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
United Arab Emirates ranks 234th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in United Arab Emirates?
Over the last ten years it is up 59.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this United Arab Emirates data come from?
The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in United Arab Emirates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 12 October 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/united-arab-emirates/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.