Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tuvalu
Tuvalu: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 985 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▼ Falling
Latest (2090)
985 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 1.1%
World rank
176th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,037 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2041
All-time low
853.1 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2066
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tuvalu, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tuvalu stood at 985 deaths per 1,000 people.
The figure is up 1.1% on the previous year and up 9.2% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tuvalu peaked at 1,037 deaths per 1,000 people in 2041 and was at its lowest, 853.1 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2066.
That places Tuvalu 176th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tuvalu, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 978.5 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 986.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2032 | 994.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2033 | 1,003 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2034 | 1,010 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2035 | 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2036 | 1,022 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2037 | 1,027 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2038 | 1,032 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2039 | 1,034 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2040 | 1,036 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2041 | 1,037 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2042 | 1,036 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2043 | 1,032 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2044 | 1,028 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2045 | 1,023 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2046 | 1,017 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2047 | 1,010 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2048 | 1,001 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2049 | 991.3 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2050 | 981 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2051 | 969.7 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2052 | 957.8 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2053 | 946.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2054 | 934 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.3% |
| 2055 | 922.5 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2056 | 911.2 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2057 | 900.4 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2058 | 891.2 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2059 | 882.2 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2060 | 873.9 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2061 | 867.9 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2062 | 862.7 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2063 | 858.4 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2064 | 854.4 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.5% |
| 2065 | 853.4 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2066 | 853.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.0% |
| 2067 | 854 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2068 | 855.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2069 | 857 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2070 | 859.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2071 | 861.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2072 | 864.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2073 | 868.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2074 | 872.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2075 | 876.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2076 | 881.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2077 | 885.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2078 | 891.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2079 | 896.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2080 | 901.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2081 | 907.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2082 | 914.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2083 | 921.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2084 | 929.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2085 | 937.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2086 | 946.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2087 | 954.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2088 | 964 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2089 | 974.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2090 | 985 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
Tuvalu compared with similar countries
- Tuvalu's 985 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for upper middle income countries, which is 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people, 74% of the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Tuvalu's 985 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 1,250 deaths per 1,000 people, 79% of the median. (37 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 1,010 deaths per 1,000 people | 978.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,034 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 1,021 deaths per 1,000 people | 991.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,037 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 929.61 deaths per 1,000 people | 882.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 981 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 858.99 deaths per 1,000 people | 853.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 873.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 875.71 deaths per 1,000 people | 859.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 896.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 935.13 deaths per 1,000 people | 901.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 974.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 985 deaths per 1,000 people | 985 deaths per 1,000 people | 985 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Tuvalu
More health data for Tuvalu
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -100 % change on previous year (2095)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 1.12 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 0 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2019)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -3.2 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.051 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -4.28 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0566 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tuvalu?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tuvalu was 985 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Tuvalu?
- The highest recorded value was 1,037 deaths per 1,000 people in 2041.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Tuvalu?
- The lowest recorded value was 853.1 deaths per 1,000 people in 2066.
- How does Tuvalu rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Tuvalu ranks 176th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Tuvalu?
- Over the last ten years it is up 9.2%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Tuvalu data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.