Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tonga

Tonga: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising

Latest (2090)
834.5 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 2.3%
World rank
205th
of 236 countries
All-time high
834.5 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
660.6 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tonga, 2030–2090

0200400600800203020602090

Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.

Analysis

In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tonga stood at 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.

That represents a change of up 2.3% on the previous year and up 19.1% over ten years.

Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tonga peaked at 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 660.6 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.

That places Tonga 205th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the bottom quarter.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tonga, year by year

Annual values for Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tonga, 2030 to 2090.
Year deaths per 1,000 people Change
2030 660.6 deaths per 1,000 people —
2031 662.8 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2032 665 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2033 666.7 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2034 669 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2035 670.6 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2036 671.8 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2037 673 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2038 674.3 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2039 675.4 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2040 676.5 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2041 677.6 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2042 679 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2043 680.3 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2044 681.4 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2045 683 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2046 684.4 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2047 685.8 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2048 686.9 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2049 688.3 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2050 690 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2051 690.8 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2052 692.1 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2053 693.1 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2054 693.8 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2055 694.6 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2056 694.7 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2057 695 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2058 695.2 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2059 694.6 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2060 693.6 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2061 692.3 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2062 690.7 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2063 689.1 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2064 687.6 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2065 685.3 deaths per 1,000 people -0.3%
2066 684.1 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2067 682.4 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2068 681 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2069 679.7 deaths per 1,000 people -0.2%
2070 678.9 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2071 678.5 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2072 678.1 deaths per 1,000 people -0.1%
2073 678.2 deaths per 1,000 people +0.0%
2074 679 deaths per 1,000 people +0.1%
2075 680.5 deaths per 1,000 people +0.2%
2076 682.7 deaths per 1,000 people +0.3%
2077 685.2 deaths per 1,000 people +0.4%
2078 689.2 deaths per 1,000 people +0.6%
2079 694.6 deaths per 1,000 people +0.8%
2080 700.6 deaths per 1,000 people +0.9%
2081 708.3 deaths per 1,000 people +1.1%
2082 717.2 deaths per 1,000 people +1.3%
2083 727.6 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2084 738.8 deaths per 1,000 people +1.5%
2085 751.6 deaths per 1,000 people +1.7%
2086 766.1 deaths per 1,000 people +1.9%
2087 781.2 deaths per 1,000 people +2.0%
2088 797.6 deaths per 1,000 people +2.1%
2089 815.5 deaths per 1,000 people +2.2%
2090 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people +2.3%

Tonga compared with similar countries

  • Tonga's 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for upper middle income countries, which is 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people, 63% of the median. (58 countries reporting)
  • Tonga's 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 1,250 deaths per 1,000 people, 67% of the median. (37 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2030s 668.92 deaths per 1,000 people 660.6 deaths per 1,000 people 675.4 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2040s 682.32 deaths per 1,000 people 676.5 deaths per 1,000 people 688.3 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2050s 693.39 deaths per 1,000 people 690 deaths per 1,000 people 695.2 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2060s 686.58 deaths per 1,000 people 679.7 deaths per 1,000 people 693.6 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2070s 682.49 deaths per 1,000 people 678.1 deaths per 1,000 people 694.6 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2080s 750.45 deaths per 1,000 people 700.6 deaths per 1,000 people 815.5 deaths per 1,000 people 10
2090s 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people 1

Countries ranked near Tonga

  1. 202 Jordan 842.7 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  2. 203 Sudan 841.3 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  3. 204 Senegal 835.5 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  4. 206 Comoros 827.3 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  5. 207 Kazakhstan 825.8 deaths per 1,000 people compare
  6. 208 Democratic Republic of Congo 821.4 deaths per 1,000 people compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More health data for Tonga

All data for Tonga →

Frequently asked questions

What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tonga?
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tonga was 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Tonga?
The highest recorded value was 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Tonga?
The lowest recorded value was 660.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
How does Tonga rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Tonga ranks 205th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Tonga?
Over the last ten years it is up 19.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Tonga data come from?
The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tonga. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 27 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/tonga/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.