Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tonga
Tonga: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tonga, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tonga stood at 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
That represents a change of up 2.3% on the previous year and up 19.1% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tonga peaked at 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 660.6 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
That places Tonga 205th out of 236 countries with data for 2090, putting it in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tonga, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 660.6 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 662.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2032 | 665 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2033 | 666.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2034 | 669 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2035 | 670.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2036 | 671.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2037 | 673 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2038 | 674.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2039 | 675.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2040 | 676.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2041 | 677.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2042 | 679 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2043 | 680.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2044 | 681.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2045 | 683 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2046 | 684.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2047 | 685.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2048 | 686.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2049 | 688.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2050 | 690 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2051 | 690.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2052 | 692.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2053 | 693.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2054 | 693.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2055 | 694.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2056 | 694.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2057 | 695 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2058 | 695.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2059 | 694.6 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2060 | 693.6 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2061 | 692.3 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2062 | 690.7 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2063 | 689.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2064 | 687.6 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2065 | 685.3 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.3% |
| 2066 | 684.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2067 | 682.4 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2068 | 681 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2069 | 679.7 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2070 | 678.9 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2071 | 678.5 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2072 | 678.1 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2073 | 678.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.0% |
| 2074 | 679 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2075 | 680.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2076 | 682.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2077 | 685.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2078 | 689.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2079 | 694.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2080 | 700.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2081 | 708.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2082 | 717.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2083 | 727.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2084 | 738.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2085 | 751.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2086 | 766.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2087 | 781.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.0% |
| 2088 | 797.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.1% |
| 2089 | 815.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.2% |
| 2090 | 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +2.3% |
Tonga compared with similar countries
- Tonga's 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for upper middle income countries, which is 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people, 63% of the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Tonga's 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 1,250 deaths per 1,000 people, 67% of the median. (37 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 668.92 deaths per 1,000 people | 660.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 675.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 682.32 deaths per 1,000 people | 676.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 688.3 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 693.39 deaths per 1,000 people | 690 deaths per 1,000 people | 695.2 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 686.58 deaths per 1,000 people | 679.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 693.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 682.49 deaths per 1,000 people | 678.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 694.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 750.45 deaths per 1,000 people | 700.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 815.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Tonga
- 202 Jordan 842.7 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 203 Sudan 841.3 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 204 Senegal 835.5 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 206 Comoros 827.3 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 207 Kazakhstan 825.8 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 208 Democratic Republic of Congo 821.4 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Tonga
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -33.33 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 2.33 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 2 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -1.42 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0535 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -1.36 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0578 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tonga?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Tonga was 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Tonga?
- The highest recorded value was 834.5 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Tonga?
- The lowest recorded value was 660.6 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Tonga rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Tonga ranks 205th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Tonga?
- Over the last ten years it is up 19.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Tonga data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.