Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,250 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Sri Lanka, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
Sri Lanka recorded 1,250 deaths per 1,000 people for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
That represents a change of up 0.7% on the previous year and up 6.4% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Sri Lanka peaked at 1,250 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 773 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
Sri Lanka ranks 101st of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Sri Lanka, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 773 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 784.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2032 | 796.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2033 | 808.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2034 | 820.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2035 | 831.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2036 | 842.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2037 | 852.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2038 | 862.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2039 | 872.8 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2040 | 882.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2041 | 890.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2042 | 899.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2043 | 908.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2044 | 916.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2045 | 923.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2046 | 930.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2047 | 938.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2048 | 946 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2049 | 952.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2050 | 960.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2051 | 968.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2052 | 974.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2053 | 981.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2054 | 988.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2055 | 995.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2056 | 1,002 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2057 | 1,009 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2058 | 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2059 | 1,023 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2060 | 1,032 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2061 | 1,039 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2062 | 1,047 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2063 | 1,056 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2064 | 1,065 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2065 | 1,074 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2066 | 1,082 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2067 | 1,091 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2068 | 1,099 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2069 | 1,107 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2070 | 1,115 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2071 | 1,122 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2072 | 1,129 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2073 | 1,135 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2074 | 1,142 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2075 | 1,148 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2076 | 1,154 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2077 | 1,159 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2078 | 1,165 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2079 | 1,170 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2080 | 1,175 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2081 | 1,181 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2082 | 1,188 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2083 | 1,195 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2084 | 1,202 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2085 | 1,209 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2086 | 1,217 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2087 | 1,224 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2088 | 1,232 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2089 | 1,241 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2090 | 1,250 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
Sri Lanka compared with similar countries
- Sri Lanka's 1,250 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for upper middle income countries, which is 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people, 94% of the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Sri Lanka's 1,250 deaths per 1,000 people is below the median for South Asia, which is 1,329 deaths per 1,000 people, 94% of the median. (6 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 824.55 deaths per 1,000 people | 773 deaths per 1,000 people | 872.8 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 918.73 deaths per 1,000 people | 882.1 deaths per 1,000 people | 952.6 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 991.87 deaths per 1,000 people | 960.9 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,023 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,069 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,032 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,107 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,144 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,115 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,170 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,206 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,175 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,241 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,250 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,250 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,250 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Sri Lanka
More health data for Sri Lanka
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.62 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.7332 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 304 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -2.13 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0339 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -2.12 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0353 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Sri Lanka?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Sri Lanka was 1,250 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Sri Lanka?
- The highest recorded value was 1,250 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Sri Lanka?
- The lowest recorded value was 773 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Sri Lanka rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Sri Lanka ranks 101st out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Sri Lanka?
- Over the last ten years it is up 6.4%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Sri Lanka data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.