Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Poland
Poland: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,693 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
1,693 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
down 0.9%
World rank
22nd
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,880 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2077
All-time low
1,155 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Poland, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
In 2090, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Poland stood at 1,693 deaths per 1,000 people.
The figure is down 0.9% on the previous year and down 9.2% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Poland peaked at 1,880 deaths per 1,000 people in 2077 and was at its lowest, 1,155 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
Poland ranks 22nd of 236 countries on this measure, in the top 10%.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Poland, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 1,155 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 1,170 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2032 | 1,186 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2033 | 1,204 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2034 | 1,222 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2035 | 1,242 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2036 | 1,264 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2037 | 1,285 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2038 | 1,308 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2039 | 1,330 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2040 | 1,350 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2041 | 1,370 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2042 | 1,388 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2043 | 1,405 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2044 | 1,419 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2045 | 1,432 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2046 | 1,442 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2047 | 1,450 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2048 | 1,456 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2049 | 1,461 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2050 | 1,466 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2051 | 1,469 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2052 | 1,472 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2053 | 1,476 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2054 | 1,482 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2055 | 1,488 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2056 | 1,497 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2057 | 1,507 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2058 | 1,519 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.8% |
| 2059 | 1,534 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2060 | 1,551 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2061 | 1,571 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2062 | 1,593 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2063 | 1,617 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2064 | 1,641 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2065 | 1,668 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2066 | 1,696 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2067 | 1,723 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2068 | 1,750 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2069 | 1,775 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2070 | 1,800 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2071 | 1,820 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2072 | 1,838 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2073 | 1,854 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2074 | 1,866 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2075 | 1,873 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2076 | 1,879 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2077 | 1,880 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2078 | 1,878 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.1% |
| 2079 | 1,874 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.2% |
| 2080 | 1,865 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.4% |
| 2081 | 1,854 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.6% |
| 2082 | 1,840 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.7% |
| 2083 | 1,823 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
| 2084 | 1,805 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2085 | 1,786 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.0% |
| 2086 | 1,768 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.1% |
| 2087 | 1,748 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.1% |
| 2088 | 1,729 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.1% |
| 2089 | 1,709 deaths per 1,000 people | -1.2% |
| 2090 | 1,693 deaths per 1,000 people | -0.9% |
Poland compared with similar countries
- Poland's 1,693 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for high income countries, which is 1,266 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.3× the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Poland's 1,693 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1,269 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.3× the median. (56 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 1,236 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,155 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,330 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 1,417 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,350 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,461 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 1,491 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,466 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,534 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,659 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,551 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,775 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,856 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,800 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,880 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,793 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,709 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,865 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,693 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,693 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,693 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Poland
- 19 Curacao 1,726 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 20 North Macedonia 1,700 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 21 Cuba 1,696 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 23 Bosnia and Herzegovina 1,689 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 24 Belarus 1,674 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 25 Anguilla 1,666 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Poland
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.23 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate -0.9071 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 80 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -5.59 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0201 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -5.49 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0213 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Poland?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Poland was 1,693 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Poland?
- The highest recorded value was 1,880 deaths per 1,000 people in 2077.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Poland?
- The lowest recorded value was 1,155 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Poland rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Poland ranks 22nd out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Poland?
- Over the last ten years it is down 9.2%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Poland data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.