Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Brazil
Brazil: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates was 1,496 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090. ▲ Rising
Latest (2090)
1,496 deaths per 1,000 people
Change on year
up 0.2%
World rank
49th
of 236 countries
All-time high
1,496 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
All-time low
789.7 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2030
Years of data
61
2030–2090
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Brazil, 2030–2090
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in deaths per 1,000 people.
Analysis
The most recent figure for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Brazil is 1,496 deaths per 1,000 people, measured in 2090. That is the highest value across all 61 years on record.
Compared with earlier readings it is up 0.2% on the previous year and up 1.9% over ten years.
Over the whole period, estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Brazil peaked at 1,496 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090 and was at its lowest, 789.7 deaths per 1,000 people, in 2030.
Brazil ranks 49th of 236 countries on this measure, in the top quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 61 years of available data.
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Brazil, year by year
| Year | deaths per 1,000 people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 789.7 deaths per 1,000 people | — |
| 2031 | 804.1 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2032 | 819.3 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2033 | 834.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2034 | 849.9 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2035 | 865 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2036 | 880.7 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2037 | 897.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.9% |
| 2038 | 913.6 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.8% |
| 2039 | 929.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2040 | 945.4 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2041 | 961.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2042 | 977.2 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2043 | 993.5 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.7% |
| 2044 | 1,010 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.6% |
| 2045 | 1,025 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2046 | 1,040 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.5% |
| 2047 | 1,055 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2048 | 1,070 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2049 | 1,086 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.4% |
| 2050 | 1,100 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2051 | 1,114 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2052 | 1,128 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2053 | 1,143 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2054 | 1,158 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2055 | 1,172 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2056 | 1,185 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2057 | 1,199 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2058 | 1,213 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2059 | 1,228 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2060 | 1,242 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2061 | 1,258 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.3% |
| 2062 | 1,272 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2063 | 1,286 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2064 | 1,301 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.2% |
| 2065 | 1,316 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2066 | 1,330 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2067 | 1,343 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2068 | 1,358 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.1% |
| 2069 | 1,371 deaths per 1,000 people | +1.0% |
| 2070 | 1,384 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2071 | 1,397 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2072 | 1,409 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.9% |
| 2073 | 1,418 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2074 | 1,428 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.7% |
| 2075 | 1,436 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2076 | 1,445 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.6% |
| 2077 | 1,452 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.5% |
| 2078 | 1,458 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2079 | 1,464 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2080 | 1,469 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2081 | 1,475 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.4% |
| 2082 | 1,479 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.3% |
| 2083 | 1,481 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2084 | 1,484 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2085 | 1,487 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2086 | 1,490 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
| 2087 | 1,492 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2088 | 1,493 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2089 | 1,494 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.1% |
| 2090 | 1,496 deaths per 1,000 people | +0.2% |
Brazil compared with similar countries
- Brazil's 1,496 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for upper middle income countries, which is 1,332 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.1× the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Brazil's 1,496 deaths per 1,000 people is above the median for Latin America & Caribbean, which is 1,420 deaths per 1,000 people, 1.1× the median. (42 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030s | 858.37 deaths per 1,000 people | 789.7 deaths per 1,000 people | 929.5 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 1,016 deaths per 1,000 people | 945.4 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,086 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 1,164 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,100 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,228 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 1,308 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,242 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,371 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 1,429 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,384 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,464 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 1,484 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,469 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,494 deaths per 1,000 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 1,496 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,496 deaths per 1,000 people | 1,496 deaths per 1,000 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Brazil
- 46 Wallis and Futuna 1,508 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 47 Colombia 1,505 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 48 Serbia 1,502 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 50 Moldova 1,492 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 51 Saint Barthelemy 1,471 deaths per 1,000 people compare
- 52 Saint Helena 1,469 deaths per 1,000 people compare
More health data for Brazil
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -1.86 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate 0.1539 % change on previous year (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 3,476 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -1.66 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.0296 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate -1.63 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per capita 0.0309 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Brazil?
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates in Brazil was 1,496 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Brazil?
- The highest recorded value was 1,496 deaths per 1,000 people in 2090.
- What is the lowest estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates recorded in Brazil?
- The lowest recorded value was 789.7 deaths per 1,000 people in 2030.
- How does Brazil rank for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
- Brazil ranks 49th out of 236 countries with data for 2090.
- Is estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates rising or falling in Brazil?
- Over the last ten years it is up 1.9%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Brazil data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.