Jamaica vs Macau, China: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates

Jamaica
2,308 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Macau, China
2,233 deaths per 1,000 people
in 2090
Jamaica rank
3rd
Macau, China rank
4th

Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates over time

  • Jamaica
  • Macau, China
5001.0k1.5k2.0k2.5k203020602090

How they compare

Jamaica currently reports 2,308 deaths per 1,000 people against 2,233 deaths per 1,000 people in Macau, China, a difference of 75 deaths per 1,000 people.

The two have swapped places 2 times across 61 shared years of data; in 2030 it was Jamaica ahead.

Jamaica ranks 3rd and Macau, China ranks 4th of 236 countries.

Across the 7 decades both report, Jamaica averaged higher in 6 and Macau, China in 1.

Head to head by decade

Decade Jamaica Macau, China Difference Ahead
2030s 1,006 deaths per 1,000 people 704.2 deaths per 1,000 people 301.86 deaths per 1,000 people Jamaica
2040s 1,242 deaths per 1,000 people 1,064 deaths per 1,000 people 178.03 deaths per 1,000 people Jamaica
2050s 1,505 deaths per 1,000 people 1,355 deaths per 1,000 people 149.82 deaths per 1,000 people Jamaica
2060s 1,808 deaths per 1,000 people 1,618 deaths per 1,000 people 190.05 deaths per 1,000 people Jamaica
2070s 2,125 deaths per 1,000 people 2,014 deaths per 1,000 people 111.3 deaths per 1,000 people Jamaica
2080s 2,304 deaths per 1,000 people 2,304 deaths per 1,000 people 0.85 deaths per 1,000 people Macau, China
2090s 2,308 deaths per 1,000 people 2,233 deaths per 1,000 people 74.7 deaths per 1,000 people Jamaica

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates, Jamaica or Macau, China?
Jamaica, at 2,308 deaths per 1,000 people against 2,233 deaths per 1,000 people in Macau, China as of 2090.
What is the difference in estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates between Jamaica and Macau, China?
75 deaths per 1,000 people, with Jamaica ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Jamaica and Macau, China?
61 years are reported by both, from 2030 to 2090.
How do Jamaica and Macau, China rank globally for estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates?
Jamaica ranks 3rd and Macau, China ranks 4th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Jamaica vs Macau, China: Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates. Statizoid, drawing on UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 04 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/compare/heat-deaths-vs-projected-death-rates/jamaica/macao-sar-china/

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About this data

Indicator
Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Unit
deaths per 1,000 people
Source
UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 14,396 data points, 2030–2090
Last refreshed

Number of deaths in a year per 1,000 people in the population. Future projections are based on the UN's medium scenario.