Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years, male in Nigeria

Nigeria: Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years, male was 9.2 per 1,000 in 2024. ▼ Falling

Latest (2024)
9.2 per 1,000
Change on year
down 2.1%
World rank
67th
of 197 countries
All-time high
21.5 per 1,000
in 1990
All-time low
9.2 per 1,000
in 2024
Years of data
35
1990–2024

Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years, male in Nigeria, 1990–2024

051015201990200720241990: 21.5 per 1,0001991: 20.9 per 1,0001992: 20.1 per 1,0001993: 19.6 per 1,0001994: 19 per 1,0001995: 18.6 per 1,0001996: 18 per 1,0001997: 17.5 per 1,0001998: 16.9 per 1,0001999: 16.4 per 1,0002000: 15.7 per 1,0002001: 15 per 1,0002002: 14.6 per 1,0002003: 14.4 per 1,0002004: 14.1 per 1,0002005: 13.7 per 1,0002006: 13 per 1,0002007: 12.6 per 1,0002008: 12.3 per 1,0002009: 12.1 per 1,0002010: 11.9 per 1,0002011: 11.8 per 1,0002012: 11.8 per 1,0002013: 11.4 per 1,0002014: 11.2 per 1,0002015: 10.7 per 1,0002016: 10.4 per 1,0002017: 10.2 per 1,0002018: 10 per 1,0002019: 9.9 per 1,0002020: 9.8 per 1,0002021: 9.7 per 1,0002022: 9.6 per 1,0002023: 9.4 per 1,0002024: 9.2 per 1,000

Source: Estimates developed by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UNICEF, WHO, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org. Measured in per 1,000.

Analysis

The most recent figure for probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years, male in Nigeria is 9.2 per 1,000, measured in 2024. That is the lowest value across all 35 years on record.

Compared with earlier readings it is down 2.1% on the previous year and down 17.9% over ten years.

Over the whole period, probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years, male in Nigeria peaked at 21.5 per 1,000 in 1990 and was at its lowest, 9.2 per 1,000, in 2024.

That places Nigeria 67th out of 197 countries with data for 2024, putting it in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 35 years of available data.

Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years, male in Nigeria, year by year

Annual values for Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years, male (per 1,000) in Nigeria, 1990 to 2024.
Year per 1,000 Change
1990 21.5 per 1,000
1991 20.9 per 1,000 -2.8%
1992 20.1 per 1,000 -3.8%
1993 19.6 per 1,000 -2.5%
1994 19 per 1,000 -3.1%
1995 18.6 per 1,000 -2.1%
1996 18 per 1,000 -3.2%
1997 17.5 per 1,000 -2.8%
1998 16.9 per 1,000 -3.4%
1999 16.4 per 1,000 -3.0%
2000 15.7 per 1,000 -4.3%
2001 15 per 1,000 -4.5%
2002 14.6 per 1,000 -2.7%
2003 14.4 per 1,000 -1.4%
2004 14.1 per 1,000 -2.1%
2005 13.7 per 1,000 -2.8%
2006 13 per 1,000 -5.1%
2007 12.6 per 1,000 -3.1%
2008 12.3 per 1,000 -2.4%
2009 12.1 per 1,000 -1.6%
2010 11.9 per 1,000 -1.7%
2011 11.8 per 1,000 -0.8%
2012 11.8 per 1,000 +0.0%
2013 11.4 per 1,000 -3.4%
2014 11.2 per 1,000 -1.8%
2015 10.7 per 1,000 -4.5%
2016 10.4 per 1,000 -2.8%
2017 10.2 per 1,000 -1.9%
2018 10 per 1,000 -2.0%
2019 9.9 per 1,000 -1.0%
2020 9.8 per 1,000 -1.0%
2021 9.7 per 1,000 -1.0%
2022 9.6 per 1,000 -1.0%
2023 9.4 per 1,000 -2.1%
2024 9.2 per 1,000 -2.1%

Nigeria compared with similar countries

  • Nigeria's 9.2 per 1,000 is above the median for lower middle income countries, which is 9.2 per 1,000, 1.0× the median. (47 countries reporting)
  • Nigeria's 9.2 per 1,000 is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 13.8 per 1,000, 67% of the median. (48 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
1990s 18.85 per 1,000 16.4 per 1,000 21.5 per 1,000 10
2000s 13.75 per 1,000 12.1 per 1,000 15.7 per 1,000 10
2010s 10.93 per 1,000 9.9 per 1,000 11.9 per 1,000 10
2020s 9.54 per 1,000 9.2 per 1,000 9.8 per 1,000 5

Countries ranked near Nigeria

  1. 64 Costa Rica 9.6 per 1,000 compare
  2. 65 Mexico 9.5 per 1,000 compare
  3. 66 Zambia 9.4 per 1,000 compare
  4. 67 Jamaica 9.2 per 1,000 compare
  5. 67 Marshall Islands 9.2 per 1,000 compare
  6. 70 Lesotho 9.1 per 1,000 compare
  7. 70 Uruguay 9.1 per 1,000 compare

See the full ranking of 240 places →

More health data for Nigeria

All data for Nigeria →

Frequently asked questions

What is probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years, male in Nigeria?
Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years, male in Nigeria was 9.2 per 1,000 in 2024, according to Estimates developed by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UNICEF, WHO, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org.
What is the highest probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years, male recorded in Nigeria?
The highest recorded value was 21.5 per 1,000 in 1990.
What is the lowest probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years, male recorded in Nigeria?
The lowest recorded value was 9.2 per 1,000 in 2024.
How does Nigeria rank for probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years, male?
Nigeria ranks 67th out of 197 countries with data for 2024.
Is probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years, male rising or falling in Nigeria?
Over the last ten years it is down 17.9%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this Nigeria data come from?
The figures come from Estimates developed by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UNICEF, WHO, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org, published as part of Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years, male (per 1,000). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years, male in Nigeria. Statizoid, drawing on Estimates developed by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UNICEF, WHO, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org. Retrieved 16 September 2026, from https://health.statizoid.com/stat/probability-of-dying-among-youth-ages-20-24-years-male-per-1-000/nigeria/

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About this data

Indicator
Probability of dying among youth ages 20-24 years, male (per 1,000)
Unit
per 1,000
Source
Estimates developed by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UNICEF, WHO, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (World Bank Open Data)
Coverage
240 places, 8,400 data points, 1990–2024
Last refreshed

Probability of dying among male youths between age 20-24 years of age expressed per 1,000 male youths age 20, if subject to male age-specific mortality rates of the specified year.