Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years in South Africa
South Africa: Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years was 10 per 1,000 in 2024. ▼ Falling
Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years in South Africa, 1990–2024
Source: Estimates developed by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UNICEF, WHO, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org. Measured in per 1,000.
Analysis
South Africa recorded 10 per 1,000 for probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years in 2024. That is the lowest value across all 35 years on record.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 1.0% on the previous year and down 13.0% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years in South Africa peaked at 15.4 per 1,000 in 2005 and was at its lowest, 10 per 1,000, in 2024.
South Africa ranks 37th of 197 countries on this measure, in the top quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 35 years of available data.
Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years in South Africa, year by year
| Year | per 1,000 | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1990 | 10.1 per 1,000 | — |
| 1991 | 10.2 per 1,000 | +1.0% |
| 1992 | 10.4 per 1,000 | +2.0% |
| 1993 | 10.6 per 1,000 | +1.9% |
| 1994 | 10.9 per 1,000 | +2.8% |
| 1995 | 11.2 per 1,000 | +2.8% |
| 1996 | 11.6 per 1,000 | +3.6% |
| 1997 | 12 per 1,000 | +3.4% |
| 1998 | 12.5 per 1,000 | +4.2% |
| 1999 | 13 per 1,000 | +4.0% |
| 2000 | 13.5 per 1,000 | +3.8% |
| 2001 | 14.1 per 1,000 | +4.4% |
| 2002 | 14.5 per 1,000 | +2.8% |
| 2003 | 15 per 1,000 | +3.4% |
| 2004 | 15.2 per 1,000 | +1.3% |
| 2005 | 15.4 per 1,000 | +1.3% |
| 2006 | 15.3 per 1,000 | -0.6% |
| 2007 | 15 per 1,000 | -2.0% |
| 2008 | 14.6 per 1,000 | -2.7% |
| 2009 | 14.1 per 1,000 | -3.4% |
| 2010 | 13.5 per 1,000 | -4.3% |
| 2011 | 12.9 per 1,000 | -4.4% |
| 2012 | 12.4 per 1,000 | -3.9% |
| 2013 | 11.9 per 1,000 | -4.0% |
| 2014 | 11.5 per 1,000 | -3.4% |
| 2015 | 11.1 per 1,000 | -3.5% |
| 2016 | 10.8 per 1,000 | -2.7% |
| 2017 | 10.5 per 1,000 | -2.8% |
| 2018 | 10.3 per 1,000 | -1.9% |
| 2019 | 10.2 per 1,000 | -1.0% |
| 2020 | 10.1 per 1,000 | -1.0% |
| 2021 | 10.1 per 1,000 | +0.0% |
| 2022 | 10.1 per 1,000 | +0.0% |
| 2023 | 10.1 per 1,000 | +0.0% |
| 2024 | 10 per 1,000 | -1.0% |
South Africa compared with similar countries
- South Africa's 10 per 1,000 is above the median for upper middle income countries, which is 4.9 per 1,000, 2.0× the median. (59 countries reporting)
- South Africa's 10 per 1,000 is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 11.2 per 1,000, 89% of the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990s | 11.25 per 1,000 | 10.1 per 1,000 | 13 per 1,000 | 10 |
| 2000s | 14.67 per 1,000 | 13.5 per 1,000 | 15.4 per 1,000 | 10 |
| 2010s | 11.51 per 1,000 | 10.2 per 1,000 | 13.5 per 1,000 | 10 |
| 2020s | 10.08 per 1,000 | 10 per 1,000 | 10.1 per 1,000 | 5 |
Countries ranked near South Africa
- 34 Haiti 10.4 per 1,000 compare
- 35 Ukraine 10.3 per 1,000 compare
- 36 Eritrea 10.2 per 1,000 compare
- 38 Ethiopia 9.9 per 1,000 compare
- 39 Burkina Faso 9.6 per 1,000 compare
- 40 Ecuador 9.5 per 1,000 compare
- 40 Papua New Guinea 9.5 per 1,000 compare
- 40 Venezuela, Bolivarian Republic of 9.5 per 1,000 compare
More health data for South Africa
- Un projection of annual infant deaths, annual growth rate -2.2 % change on previous year (2100)
- Heat deaths vs projected death rates, annual growth rate -0.1386 % change on previous year (2090)
- Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates 1,152 deaths per 1,000 people (2090)
- Number of infants who die before age 1 3,333 deaths (2100)
- Neonatal tetanus - number of reported cases, gaps filled 0 (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, annual growth rate -0.5504 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, female, per capita 0.045 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, annual growth rate 0.0003 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 00-04, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years in South Africa?
- Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years in South Africa was 10 per 1,000 in 2024, according to Estimates developed by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UNICEF, WHO, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org.
- What is the highest probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years recorded in South Africa?
- The highest recorded value was 15.4 per 1,000 in 2005.
- What is the lowest probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years recorded in South Africa?
- The lowest recorded value was 10 per 1,000 in 2024.
- How does South Africa rank for probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years?
- South Africa ranks 37th out of 197 countries with data for 2024.
- Is probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years rising or falling in South Africa?
- Over the last ten years it is down 13.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this South Africa data come from?
- The figures come from Estimates developed by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UNICEF, WHO, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org, published as part of Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years (per 1,000). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability of dying between age 10-19 years of age expressed per 1,000 adolescents age 10, if subject to age-specific mortality rates of the specified year.