Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years in Africa Eastern and Southern
Africa Eastern and Southern: Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years was 13.32 per 1,000 in 2024. ▼ Falling
Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years in Africa Eastern and Southern, 1990–2024
Source: Estimates developed by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UNICEF, WHO, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org. Measured in per 1,000.
Analysis
The most recent figure for probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years in Africa Eastern and Southern is 13.32 per 1,000, measured in 2024. That is the lowest value across all 35 years on record.
That represents a change of down 2.7% on the previous year and down 17.3% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years in Africa Eastern and Southern peaked at 40.53 per 1,000 in 1994 and was at its lowest, 13.32 per 1,000, in 2024.
Africa Eastern and Southern ranks 8th of 43 groups on this measure, in the top quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 35 years of available data.
Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years in Africa Eastern and Southern, year by year
| Year | per 1,000 | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1990 | 31.91 per 1,000 | — |
| 1991 | 32.15 per 1,000 | +0.8% |
| 1992 | 33.78 per 1,000 | +5.1% |
| 1993 | 34.39 per 1,000 | +1.8% |
| 1994 | 40.53 per 1,000 | +17.9% |
| 1995 | 29.8 per 1,000 | -26.5% |
| 1996 | 30.95 per 1,000 | +3.9% |
| 1997 | 30 per 1,000 | -3.0% |
| 1998 | 31.73 per 1,000 | +5.8% |
| 1999 | 28.18 per 1,000 | -11.2% |
| 2000 | 26.42 per 1,000 | -6.3% |
| 2001 | 26.14 per 1,000 | -1.1% |
| 2002 | 24.83 per 1,000 | -5.0% |
| 2003 | 24 per 1,000 | -3.3% |
| 2004 | 23.46 per 1,000 | -2.3% |
| 2005 | 21.89 per 1,000 | -6.7% |
| 2006 | 20.78 per 1,000 | -5.1% |
| 2007 | 19.9 per 1,000 | -4.2% |
| 2008 | 19.29 per 1,000 | -3.1% |
| 2009 | 18.45 per 1,000 | -4.3% |
| 2010 | 17.88 per 1,000 | -3.1% |
| 2011 | 18.35 per 1,000 | +2.6% |
| 2012 | 16.78 per 1,000 | -8.6% |
| 2013 | 16.04 per 1,000 | -4.4% |
| 2014 | 16.1 per 1,000 | +0.4% |
| 2015 | 15.88 per 1,000 | -1.4% |
| 2016 | 15.69 per 1,000 | -1.2% |
| 2017 | 15.59 per 1,000 | -0.7% |
| 2018 | 14.42 per 1,000 | -7.5% |
| 2019 | 13.87 per 1,000 | -3.8% |
| 2020 | 13.69 per 1,000 | -1.3% |
| 2021 | 14.21 per 1,000 | +3.8% |
| 2022 | 14.21 per 1,000 | -0.0% |
| 2023 | 13.69 per 1,000 | -3.6% |
| 2024 | 13.32 per 1,000 | -2.7% |
Biggest year-on-year movements
Years where Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years in Africa Eastern and Southern changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.
| Year | Change | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | -26.5% | 40.53 per 1,000 | 29.8 per 1,000 |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990s | 32.34 per 1,000 | 28.18 per 1,000 | 40.53 per 1,000 | 10 |
| 2000s | 22.51 per 1,000 | 18.45 per 1,000 | 26.42 per 1,000 | 10 |
| 2010s | 16.06 per 1,000 | 13.87 per 1,000 | 18.35 per 1,000 | 10 |
| 2020s | 13.82 per 1,000 | 13.32 per 1,000 | 14.21 per 1,000 | 5 |
Countries ranked near Africa Eastern and Southern
More health data for Africa Eastern and Southern
- Population ages 05-09, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 45-49, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 65 and above, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 45-49, male, annual growth rate 4.21 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 45-49, female, per capita 0.0196 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 45-49, female, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 45-49, female, annual growth rate 3.96 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 40-44, male, per capita 0.0232 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 40-44, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 35-39, male, per capita 0.0284 units per person (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years in Africa Eastern and Southern?
- Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years in Africa Eastern and Southern was 13.32 per 1,000 in 2024, according to Estimates developed by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UNICEF, WHO, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org.
- What is the highest probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years recorded in Africa Eastern and Southern?
- The highest recorded value was 40.53 per 1,000 in 1994.
- What is the lowest probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years recorded in Africa Eastern and Southern?
- The lowest recorded value was 13.32 per 1,000 in 2024.
- How does Africa Eastern and Southern rank for probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years?
- Africa Eastern and Southern ranks 8th out of 43 groups with data for 2024.
- Is probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years rising or falling in Africa Eastern and Southern?
- Over the last ten years it is down 17.3%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Africa Eastern and Southern data come from?
- The figures come from Estimates developed by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UNICEF, WHO, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org, published as part of Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years (per 1,000). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability of dying between age 10-19 years of age expressed per 1,000 adolescents age 10, if subject to age-specific mortality rates of the specified year.