Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years, male in Sub-Saharan Africa
Sub-Saharan Africa: Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years, male was 16.1 per 1,000 in 2024. ▼ Falling
Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years, male in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1990–2024
Source: Estimates developed by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UNICEF, WHO, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org. Measured in per 1,000.
Analysis
The most recent figure for probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years, male in Sub-Saharan Africa is 16.1 per 1,000, measured in 2024. That is the lowest value across all 35 years on record.
The figure is down 1.8% on the previous year and down 13.0% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years, male in Sub-Saharan Africa peaked at 39.4 per 1,000 in 1994 and was at its lowest, 16.1 per 1,000, in 2024.
That places Sub-Saharan Africa 5th out of 43 groups with data for 2024, putting it in the top 10%.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 35 years of available data.
Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years, male in Sub-Saharan Africa, year by year
| Year | per 1,000 | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1990 | 30.9 per 1,000 | — |
| 1991 | 30.3 per 1,000 | -1.9% |
| 1992 | 31.4 per 1,000 | +3.6% |
| 1993 | 31.7 per 1,000 | +1.0% |
| 1994 | 39.4 per 1,000 | +24.3% |
| 1995 | 27.9 per 1,000 | -29.2% |
| 1996 | 28.6 per 1,000 | +2.5% |
| 1997 | 27.9 per 1,000 | -2.4% |
| 1998 | 29.2 per 1,000 | +4.7% |
| 1999 | 26.7 per 1,000 | -8.6% |
| 2000 | 24.9 per 1,000 | -6.7% |
| 2001 | 24.6 per 1,000 | -1.2% |
| 2002 | 23.7 per 1,000 | -3.7% |
| 2003 | 23.2 per 1,000 | -2.1% |
| 2004 | 22.9 per 1,000 | -1.3% |
| 2005 | 21.9 per 1,000 | -4.4% |
| 2006 | 21 per 1,000 | -4.1% |
| 2007 | 20.4 per 1,000 | -2.9% |
| 2008 | 20.1 per 1,000 | -1.5% |
| 2009 | 21.5 per 1,000 | +7.0% |
| 2010 | 19.2 per 1,000 | -10.7% |
| 2011 | 19.5 per 1,000 | +1.6% |
| 2012 | 18.5 per 1,000 | -5.1% |
| 2013 | 18.1 per 1,000 | -2.2% |
| 2014 | 18.5 per 1,000 | +2.2% |
| 2015 | 18.1 per 1,000 | -2.2% |
| 2016 | 18 per 1,000 | -0.6% |
| 2017 | 18 per 1,000 | +0.0% |
| 2018 | 17 per 1,000 | -5.6% |
| 2019 | 17.2 per 1,000 | +1.2% |
| 2020 | 16.5 per 1,000 | -4.1% |
| 2021 | 17 per 1,000 | +3.0% |
| 2022 | 18.2 per 1,000 | +7.1% |
| 2023 | 16.4 per 1,000 | -9.9% |
| 2024 | 16.1 per 1,000 | -1.8% |
Biggest year-on-year movements
Years where Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years, male in Sub-Saharan Africa changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.
| Year | Change | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | -29.2% | 39.4 per 1,000 | 27.9 per 1,000 |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990s | 30.4 per 1,000 | 26.7 per 1,000 | 39.4 per 1,000 | 10 |
| 2000s | 22.42 per 1,000 | 20.1 per 1,000 | 24.9 per 1,000 | 10 |
| 2010s | 18.21 per 1,000 | 17 per 1,000 | 19.5 per 1,000 | 10 |
| 2020s | 16.84 per 1,000 | 16.1 per 1,000 | 18.2 per 1,000 | 5 |
Countries ranked near Sub-Saharan Africa
- 2 Sudan 26.8 per 1,000 compare
- 3 Somalia 25.4 per 1,000 compare
- 4 Chad 24.2 per 1,000 compare
- 5 Sierra Leone 23.7 per 1,000 compare
- 6 Niger 22.6 per 1,000 compare
- 6 South Sudan 22.6 per 1,000 compare
- 8 Congo, Democratic Republic of the 22.2 per 1,000 compare
More health data for Sub-Saharan Africa
- Population ages 15-64, male, annual growth rate 3.04 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 0-14, total, per unit of GDP 0.0002 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 0-14, total, per capita 0.4038 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 15-64, female, annual growth rate 2.96 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 15-64, female, per unit of GDP 0.0002 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 15-64, female, per capita 0.2837 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 15-64, male, per unit of GDP 0.0002 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
- Population ages 15-64, total, annual growth rate 3 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population ages 15-64, male, per capita 0.2801 units per person (2025)
- Population ages 45-49, male, per unit of GDP 0 units per US$ of GDP (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years, male in Sub-Saharan Africa?
- Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years, male in Sub-Saharan Africa was 16.1 per 1,000 in 2024, according to Estimates developed by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UNICEF, WHO, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org.
- What is the highest probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years, male recorded in Sub-Saharan Africa?
- The highest recorded value was 39.4 per 1,000 in 1994.
- What is the lowest probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years, male recorded in Sub-Saharan Africa?
- The lowest recorded value was 16.1 per 1,000 in 2024.
- How does Sub-Saharan Africa rank for probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years, male?
- Sub-Saharan Africa ranks 5th out of 43 groups with data for 2024.
- Is probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years, male rising or falling in Sub-Saharan Africa?
- Over the last ten years it is down 13.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Sub-Saharan Africa data come from?
- The figures come from Estimates developed by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UNICEF, WHO, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org, published as part of Probability of dying among adolescents ages 10-19 years, male (per 1,000). Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability of dying among male adolescents between age 10-19 years of age expressed per 1,000 male adolescents age 10, if subject to male age-specific mortality rates of the specified year.